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Koss (KOSS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Koss Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Koss's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Koss's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Consumer Electronics subindustry, Koss's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Koss's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Koss's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Koss's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Koss Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.51

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Koss  (NAS:KOSS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Koss Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Koss (KOSS) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Koss Corp (NAS:KOSS) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4129 North Port Washington Avenue, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53212
Koss Corp is engaged in the design, manufacture, and sale of stereo headphones and related accessory products. It operates in the audio/video industry segment of the home entertainment industry. The company markets a line of headphones, wireless Bluetooth headphones, wireless Bluetooth speakers, computer headsets, telecommunications headsets, and active noise-cancelling headphones. The majority of the firm's revenue is derived from sales of stereo headphones.
Executives
William Jesse Sweasy director 401 LEVEE STREET, RED WING MN 55066
Kim M. Schulte officer: Chief Financial Officer 4129 NORTH PORT WASHINGTON AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53212
David Donnan Smith officer: EVP and CFO 4129 N PORT WASHINGTON ROAD, MILWAUKEE WI 53212
Koss Michael J Jr officer: VP Marketing & Product 4129 N PORT WASHINGTON AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53212
Michael J Koss officer: President and CEO C/O GENIUS PRODUCTS, INC., 740 LOMAS SANTA FE, SUITE 210, SOLANA BEACH CA 92075
Koss John C Jr officer: Vice President - Sales C/O KOSS CORPORATION, 4129 N PORT WASHINGTON ROAD, MILWAUKEE WI 53212
Thomas L. Doerr director 4129 N. PORT WASHINGTON ROAD, MILWAUKEE WI 53212
Lenore Lillie officer: VP - Operations 4129 N PORT WASHINGTON ROAD, MILWAUKEE WI 53212
Nancy Koss 2012 Trust, Dated 12/20/12 10 percent owner 1492 W. CALUMET CT., RIVER HILLS WI 53217
Steven A Leveen director 1030 SEA SPRAY AVENUE, DELRAY BEACH FL 33483
Theodore Nixon director 100 SOUTH SPRING STREET, LOUISVILLE KY 40206
Elizabeth A Uecker officer: Secretary 4129 N PORT WASHINGTON ROAD, MILWAUKEE WI 53212
John C Koss director 4129 NORTH PORT WASHINGTON AVE, MILWAUKEE WI 53212
Nancy L Koss 10 percent owner 1492 W. CALUMET CT., RIVER HILLS WI 53217
Koss Family Trust, Dated 9/11/12 10 percent owner 1492 W. CALUMET CT., RIVER HILLS WI 53217

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