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Kite Realty Group Trust (Kite Realty Group Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Kite Realty Group Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Kite Realty Group Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Kite Realty Group Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Kite Realty Group Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kite Realty Group Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Kite Realty Group Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kite Realty Group Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Kite Realty Group Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.86

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Kite Realty Group Trust  (NYSE:KRG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Kite Realty Group Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Kite Realty Group Trust (Kite Realty Group Trust) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Kite Realty Group Trust (NYSE:KRG) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
30 South Meridian Street, Suite 1100, Indianapolis, IN, USA, 46204
Kite Realty Group Trust that owns mainly community shopping centers concentrated in Indiana (39% of base rent), Florida (10.9%), Maryland (6.8%), New York (6%), North Carolina (5.4%) and Texas (25.7%). At year-end 2022, Kite owned interests in 183 retail operating properties and three commercial properties, representing 8.9 million of gross leasable area. It also had eight properties under development or redevelopment.
Executives
Steven P Grimes director RETAIL PROPERTIES OF AMERICA, INC., 2021 SPRING ROAD, SUITE 200, OAK BROOK IL 60523
John A Kite director, officer: CEO, Pres & Trustee KITE REALTY GROUP TRUST, 30 S MERIDIAN STREET, SUITE 1100, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Charles H Wurtzebach director 2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Gerald M Gorski director RETAIL PROPERTIES OF AMERICA, INC., 2021 SPRING ROAD, SUITE 200, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Bonnie Biumi director RETAIL PROPERTIES OF AMERICA, INC., 2021 SPRING ROAD, SUITE 200, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Peter L Lynch director 2021 SPRING ROAD SUITE 200, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Derrick Burks director C/O EQUITY LIFESTYLE PROPERTIES INC, TWO NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606
Caroline L. Young director C/O KITE REALTY GROUP TRUST, 30 S. MERIDIAN STREET, SUITE 1100, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
R Fear Heath officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer C/O GGP INC., 350 N. ORLEANS, SUITE 300, CHICAGO IL 60654
Lee A Daniels director 2901 BUTTERFIELD ROAD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
William E Bindley director
Barton R Peterson director LILLY CORPORATE CENTER, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46285
David Buell officer: Senior VP & CAO KITE REALTY GROUP TRUST, 30 SOUTH MERIDIAN STREET, SUITE 1100, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Thomas K Mcgowan officer: EVP & COO KITE REALTY GROUP TRUST, 30 S MERIDIAN STREET, SUITE 1100, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Thomas R Olinger officer: Senior VP & CAO 30 S. MERIDIAN STREET, SUITE 1100, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204