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Cheniere Energy (Cheniere Energy) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Cheniere Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cheniere Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Cheniere Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, Cheniere Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cheniere Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Cheniere Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cheniere Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Cheniere Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.16

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Cheniere Energy  (NYSE:LNG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Cheniere Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Cheniere Energy (Cheniere Energy) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Cheniere Energy Inc (NYSE:LNG) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
700 Milam Street, Suite 1900, Houston, TX, USA, 77002
Cheniere Energy owns and operates the Sabine Pass liquefied natural gas terminal via its stake in Cheniere Partners. It also owns the Corpus Christi LNG terminals as well as Cheniere Marketing, which markets LNG using Cheniere's gas volumes.
Executives
Denise Gray director 7450 N. MCCORMICK BLVD., SKOKIE IL 60076
Matthew Jk Runkle director 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Vicky A Bailey director 2099 PENNSYLVANIA AVNUE, NW, SUITE 1000, WASHINGTON DC 20006
Grindal Corey officer: EVP & Chief Operating Officer 700 MILAM STREET, SUITE 1900, HOUSTON TX 77002
Brian E Edwards director 700 MILAM STREET, SUITE 1900, HOUSTON TX 77002
Aaron D. Stephenson officer: SVP, Operations 700 MILAM STREET, SUITE 1900, HOUSTON TX 77002
G Andrea Botta director 14 EAST 75TH ST #8A, NEW YORK NY 10021
Scott Bennett Peak director 1200 SMITH STREET, HOUSTON TX 77002
Neal A Shear director 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
David L Slack officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 700 MILAM STREET, SUITE 1900, HOUSTON TX 77002
Lorraine Mitchelmore director 700 MILAM STREET, SUITE 1900, HOUSTON TX 77002
Patricia K Collawn director 414 SILVER AVE SW MS 1275, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87102-3289
David B Kilpatrick director 35 HARBOR RIDGE DR., SUITE 4800, NEWORT BEACH CA 92660
Andrew Teno director C/O FIR TREE INC., 55 WEST 46TH STREET, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Nuno Brandolini director 717 TEXAS AVE., SUITE 3100, HOUSTON TX 77002

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