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Profire Energy (Profire Energy) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Profire Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Profire Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Profire Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services subindustry, Profire Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Profire Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Profire Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Profire Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Profire Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.68

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Profire Energy  (NAS:PFIE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Profire Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Profire Energy (Profire Energy) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Profire Energy Inc (NAS:PFIE) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
321 South 1250 West, Suite 1, Lindon, UT, USA, 84042
Profire Energy Inc is an oilfield technology company operating in the United States. It is engaged in the business of developing combustion management technologies for the oil and gas industry. The company specializes in the creation of burner-management systems, used on a variety of oilfield natural-draft fire tube vessels. In addition to the burner-management systems, the company also sell complementary oilfield products to its customer. Geographically, the company divides its business into two business unit namely the United States and Canada and majority of its revenue comes from the United States.
Executives
Harold Albert 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Operating Officer BAY 12, 55 ALBERTA AVE, SPRUCE GROVE A0 T7X 3A6
Bell Colleen Larkin director 333 S STATE STREET, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84145-0433
Patrick David Fisher officer: VP of Product Development 321 SOUTH 1250 WEST, LINDON UT 84042
Brenton W Hatch 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer BAY 12, 55 ALBERTA AVE, SPRUCE GROVE A0 T7X 3A6
Cameron M. Tidball officer: CBDO 321 SOUTH 1250 WEST SUITE 1, LINDON UT 84042
Jay Grant Fugal officer: VP of Operations 321 SOUTH 1250 WEST, SUITE 1, LINDON UT 84042
Daren Shaw director 27101 PUERTA REAL, SUITE 450, MISSION VIEJO CA 92691
Ronald R Spoehel director 12015 LEE JACKSON HIGHWAY, FAIRFAX VA 22033
Ryan W Oviatt officer: Chief Financial Officer 321 SOUTH 1250 WEST SUITE 1, LINDON UT 84042
Stephen E Pirnat director 4728 EAST 98TH STREET, TULSA OK 74137
Crouch Arlen director 2566 BARCELONA DRIVE, SANDY UT 84093
Andrew Limpert director, 10 percent owner, officer: Interim CEO & CFO 1245 BRICKYARD ROAD, SUITE 590, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84106
Mike Carroll director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO, CFO & President 408 BREWSTER LANE, SAINT SIMONS ISLAND GA 21522
Joel Arline director 1606 REYNOLDS STREET, BRUNSWICK GA 31520