Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust (Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.19% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.19%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-6.29

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.19%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust (OTCPK:PRETQ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust (Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust (OTCPK:PRETQ) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

PRTNQ.PFD:USA PRTMQ.PFD:USA PRTLQ.PFD:USA WX3A:Germany

Address

One Commerce Square, 2005 Market Street, Suite 1000, Philadelphia, PA, USA, 19103

Website

https://www.preit.com

Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust is a self-managed and self-administered REIT in the United States. It is engaged in the ownership, management, leasing, acquisition, redevelopment, development, and disposition of retail shopping malls including regional department stores and large format retailers. Its properties involve mall portfolio, redevelopment, specialty leasing, partnerships, and marketing. It derives the substantial majority of revenue from rent leases of retail properties in the real estate portfolio.

Executives

Christopher Swann	director	C/O PENN. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST, 2005 MARKET STREET, SUITE 1000, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Kenneth B. Hart	director	C/O PENN REAL ESTATE TRUST, 2005 MARKET STREET, SUITE 1000, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Joseph J. Aristone	officer: EVP - Leasing	C/O PENN, REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST, THE BELLEVUE, 200 S. BROAD STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19102
Joseph F Coradino	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O PENN. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST, 200 S. BROAD ST., THE BELLEVUE, PHILADEPHIA PA 19102
Michael J. Demarco	director	C/O MACK-CALI REALTY CORPORATION, HARBORSIDE 3, 210 HUDSON ST., STE. 400, JERSEY CITY NJ 07311
Ventresca Mario C. Jr.	officer: EVP-Chief Financial Officer	C/O PENN REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST, THE BELLEVUE, 200 SOUTH BROAD STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19102
Andrew M. Ioannou	officer: EVP-Finance and Acquisitions	C/O PENN REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST, THE BELLEVUE, 200 SOUTH BROAD STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19102
Mark E Pasquerilla	director
Charles P Pizzi	director	C/O TASTY BAKING COMPANY, NAVY YARD CORP. CTR., THREE CRESCENT DR., PHILADELPHIA PA 19112
Joanne A. Epps	director	C/O PENN, REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST, THE BELLEVUE, 200 S. BROAD STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19102
Alburger George J Jr	director	C/O LIBERTY PROPERTY TRUST, 65 VALLEY STREAM PARKWAY, MALVERN PA 19355
Lisa M. Most	officer: EVP, GC, CCO & Secretary	C/O PENN. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST, THE BELLEVUE, 200 SOUTH BROAD STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19102
Heather Crowell	officer: EVP-Strategy & Communications	C/O PENN, REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST, THE BELLEVUE, 200 S. BROAD STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19102
John Joseph Roberts	director	1007 CANTERBURY LANE, VILLANOVA PA 19085
Sathana Semonsky	officer: VP - Chief Accounting Officer	C/O PENN. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST, 2005 MARKET STREET, SUITE 1000, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103