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Public Storage (Public Storage) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Public Storage Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Public Storage's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Public Storage's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Industrial subindustry, Public Storage's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Public Storage's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Public Storage's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Public Storage's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Public Storage Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.09

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Public Storage  (NYSE:PSA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Public Storage Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Public Storage (Public Storage) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Public Storage (NYSE:PSA) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Address
701 Western Avenue, Glendale, CA, USA, 91201-2349
Public Storage is the largest owner of self-storage facilities in the U.S. with more than 2,880 self-storage facilities in 40 states and approximately 200 million square feet of rentable space. Through equity interests, it also has exposure to the European self-storage market through Shurgard Self Storage. The company also has a merchandise business, a third-party property management business, and an insurance business that offers products to cover losses for the goods in self-storage facilities.
Executives
Nathaniel A. Vitan officer: Chief Legal Officer 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201-2349
John Reyes director 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
Havner Ronald L Jr director 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
Avedick Baruyr Poladian director 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
David Lee officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O PUBLIC STORAGE, 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
Russell Joseph D Jr officer: President & CEO PUBLIC STORAGE, 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
Tamara Hughes Gustavson director, 10 percent owner 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201-2349
Heisz Leslie Stone director C/O PUBLIC STORAGE, 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
Ronald P Spogli director 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
Kristy Pipes director C/O PS BUSINESS PARKS, INC., 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
Shroff Michelle Millstone director C/O PARTY CITY HOLDCO INC., 80 GRASSLANDS ROAD, ELMSFORD NY 10523
Rebecca L Owen director 1750 H STREET, SUITE 500, COLUMBIA EQUITY TRUST, INC., WASHINGTON DC 20006
Paul S Williams director C/O MAJOR, LINDSEY & AFRICA, 1 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1750, CHICAGO IL 60606
Tariq M Shaukat director ONE CAESARS PALACE DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89109
David J Neithercut director C/O EQUITY RESIDENTIAL, TWO NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 400, CHICAGO IL 60606