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Sunrun (Sunrun) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.48% (As of May. 02, 2024)


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What is Sunrun Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Sunrun's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.48%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Sunrun's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Solar subindustry, Sunrun's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sunrun's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Sunrun's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sunrun's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Sunrun Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.34

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.48%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Sunrun  (NAS:RUN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Sunrun Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Sunrun (Sunrun) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Semiconductors » Sunrun Inc (NAS:RUN) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
225 Bush Street, Suite 1400, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94104
Sunrun is engaged in the design, development, installation, sale, ownership, and maintenance of residential solar energy systems in the United States. The company acquires customers directly and through relationships with various solar and strategic partners. The solar systems are constructed either by Sunrun or by Sunrun's partners and are owned by the company. Sunrun's customers typically enter into 20- to 25-year agreements to utilize its solar energy system. The company also sells solar energy systems and products, such as panels and racking, and solar leads generated to customers.
Executives
Danny Abajian officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O SUNRUN INC., 225 BUSH STREET, SUITE 1400, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Paul S. Dickson officer: Chief Revenue Officer C/O SUNRUN INC., 225 BUSH STREET, SUITE 1400, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Edward Harris Fenster director, officer: Chairman C/O SUNRUN INC., 595 MARKET STREET, 29TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Jeanna Steele officer: General Counsel C/O SUNRUN INC., 595 MARKET STREET, 29TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Lynn Michelle Jurich director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O SUNRUN INC., 595 MARKET STREET, 29TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Mary Powell director C/O SUNRUN INC., 595 MARKET STREET, 29TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Michelle Philpot officer: Chief Accounting Officer KANA SOFTWARE, INC., 181 CONSTITUTION DR., MENLO PARK CA 94025
Thomas Arthur Vonreichbauer officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O SUNRUN INC., 225 BUSH STREET, SUITE 1400, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Manjula Talreja director C/O SUNRUN INC., 225 BUSH STREET, SUITE 1400, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Christopher Dawson officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O SUNRUN INC., 595 MARKET STREET, 29TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Leslie A Dach director 702 S.W. 8TH STREET, BENTONVILLE AR 72716-0215
Sonita Lontoh director C/O SUNRUN INC., 225 BUSH STREET, SUITE 1400, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
David Bywater director, officer: CEO of Vivint Solar, Inc. 1850 WEST ASHTON BLVD, LEHI UT 84043
Gerald Alan Risk director C/O SUNRUN INC., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Alan Ferber director