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Socket Mobile (Socket Mobile) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.07% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Socket Mobile Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Socket Mobile's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Socket Mobile's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Computer Hardware subindustry, Socket Mobile's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Socket Mobile's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Socket Mobile's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Socket Mobile's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Socket Mobile Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.30

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Socket Mobile  (NAS:SCKT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Socket Mobile Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Socket Mobile (Socket Mobile) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Socket Mobile Inc (NAS:SCKT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
40675 Encyclopedia Circle, Fremont, CA, USA, 94538
Socket Mobile Inc is a producer of data capture products. The company's products are integrated into mobile applications used in mobile point of sale (mPOS), commercial services (field workers), asset tracking, manufacturing process and quality control, transportation and logistics (goods tracking and movement), event management (ticketing, entry, access control, and identification), medical and education. The company offers barcode scanning products for both one-dimensional, including imager and laser, and two-dimensional barcode scanning in standard and durable cases. The company's geographical segments are the United States, Europe, Asia, and the rest of the world, out of which the majority of the revenue is generated from the United States.
Executives
Kevin J Mills director, officer: President and CEO 40675 ENCYCLOPEDIA CIR., FREMONT CA 94538
Charlie Bass director 40675 ENCYCLOPEDIA CIR., FREMONT CA 94538
Giacomo Marini director 40675 ENCYCLOPEDIA CIR., FREMONT CA 94538
Laura Weinstein director 40675 ENCYCLOPEDIA CIRCLE, FREMONT CA 94538
Leonard L Ott officer: Chief Technical Officer 37400 CENTRAL COURT, NEWARK CA 94560
David A. Holmes officer: Chief Business Officer 39700 EUREKA DRIVE, NEWARK CA 94560
Lynn Zhao officer: Vice President and Controller 39700 EUREKA DRIVE, NEWARK CA 94560
David W Dunlap officer: CFO 37400 CENTRAL COURT, NEWARK CA 94560
Ivan Lazarev director 40675 ENCYCLOPEDIA CIR, FREMONT CA 94538
Parnell William L. Jr director 40675 ENCYCLOPEDIA CIR, FREMONT CA 94538
Nelson C Chan director C/O SYNAPTICS INCORPORATED, 1251 MCKAY DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Brenton Earl Macdonald director 39700 EUREKA DRIVE, NEWARK CA 94560
James Lopez officer: VP Marketing & Business Dev. 39700 EUREKA DRIVE, NEWARK CA 94560
Erik L. Fidel director 39700 EUREKA DRIVE, NEWARK CA 94560
Kevin R Jost director 10370 RICHMOND AVENUE, SUITE 600, HOUSTON TX 77042