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Soluna Holdings (Soluna Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 7.96% (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Soluna Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Soluna Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 7.96%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Soluna Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Soluna Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Soluna Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Soluna Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Soluna Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Soluna Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-2.45

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=7.96%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Soluna Holdings  (NAS:SLNH) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Soluna Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Soluna Holdings (Soluna Holdings) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
325 Washington Avenue Extension, Albany, NY, USA, 12205
Soluna Holdings Inc, is a U.S based company that conducts operations through its subsidiary. The group is engaged in the mining of cryptocurrency through data centers that can be powered by renewable energy sources. The data centers buy every excess megawatt to use for batch-oriented, computing-intensive processes such as cryptocurrency mining or machine learning which is a low-risk and low-friction solution to use as a smartphone.
Executives
Jessica L. Thomas officer: CFO 325 WASHINGTON AVENUE EXTENSION, ALBANY NY 12205
John Belizaire director, officer: CEO & Pres. of EcoChain Inc. 325 WASHINGTON AVENUE EXTENSION, ALBANY NY 12205
Patman Philip F Jr officer: Chief Financial Officer 9800 RICHMOND AVE, SUITE 700, HOUSTON TX 77042
William Hazelip director C/O MECHANICAL TECHNOLOGY, INC., 325 WASHINGTON AVENUE EXTENSION, ALBANY NY 12205
John Bottomley director 325 WASHINGTON AVENUE EXTENSION, ALBANY NY 12205
Mary Jennifer Oreilly officer: Chief People Officer 325 WASHINGTON AVENUE EXTENSION, ALBANY NY 12205
William P Phelan director C/O MECHANICAL TECHNOLOGY INC, 325 WASHINGTON AVENUE EXTENSION, ALBANY NY 12205
Michael Toporek director, other: See Explanation of Responses C/O MECHANICAL TECHNOLOGY, INCORPORATED, 325 WASHINGTON AVENUE EXTENSION, ALBANY NY 12205
Matthew E. Lipman director, other: See Explanation of Responses C/O MECHANICAL TECHNOLOGY, INCORPORATED, 325 WASHINGTON AVENUE EXTENSION, ALBANY NY 12205
David C Michaels director C/O MECHANICAL TECHNOLOGY INCORPORATED, 325 WASHINGTON AVENUE EXTENSION, ALBANY NY 12205
Alykhan Madhavji director 325 WASHINGTON AVENUE EXTENSION, ALBANY NY 12205
Moshe Binyamin officer: President-MTI Instruments, Inc 325 WASHINGTON AVENUE EXTENSION, ALBANY NY 12205
Frederick W. Jones officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER C/O MECHANICAL TECHNOLOGY INC, 325 WASHINGTON AVENUE EXTENSION, ALBANY NY 12205
Thomas J Marusak director C/O MECHANICAL TECHNOLOGY INC, 325 WASHINGTON AVENUE EXTENSION, ALBANY NY 12205
Edward R Hirshfield director, 10 percent owner 122 E.42ND STREET SUITE 4305, NEW YORK NY 10168