GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » TGS ASA (OTCPK:TGSGY) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

TGS ASA (TGS ASA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2008. Start your Free Trial

What is TGS ASA Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, TGS ASA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of TGS ASA's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services subindustry, TGS ASA's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TGS ASA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, TGS ASA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TGS ASA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



TGS ASA Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.02

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


TGS ASA  (OTCPK:TGSGY) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


TGS ASA Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of TGS ASA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


TGS ASA (TGS ASA) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » TGS ASA (OTCPK:TGSGY) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Askekroken 11, Oslo, NOR, 0277
TGS ASA provides geoscientific data products and services to the oil and gas industry to assist with licensing rounds and the preparation of regional data programs. It invests in multiclient data projects in frontier, emerging, and mature markets worldwide to develop a library of seismic imaging, well data, and interpretive products and services. Reportable segments are Western Hemisphere, Eastern Hemisphere, Digital Energy Solutions, Data Acquisition and Others. The company offers interpretation studies and services that integrate seismic, well logs, biostratigraphic data, core data and other geoscientific data to create basin-wide regional frameworks. TGS' geoscientists also contract consulting work in geology, geophysics, and petrophysics. Majority revenue comes from Latin America.

TGS ASA (TGS ASA) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Royce Investment Partners Comments on TGS-NOPEC Geophysical

By Sydnee Gatewood Sydnee Gatewood 10-27-2020

Royce Premier Fund Adds New Holdings

By Julie Young Julie Young 09-23-2015

Royce International Premier Fund Comments on TGS-NOPEC Geophysical

By Sydnee Gatewood Sydnee Gatewood 08-18-2020

Invesco European Growth Fund 4th-Quarter Performance Commentary

By Sydnee Gatewood Sydnee Gatewood 01-21-2021

Invesco European Growth Fund Comments on TGS-NOPEC

By Monica Wolfe Monica Wolfe 09-05-2013

Royce Premier Fund: Looking for Enduring Franchises

By Holly LaFon Holly LaFon 09-23-2015

Royce Investment Partners Comments on TGS-NOPEC Geophysical

By Sydnee Gatewood Sydnee Gatewood 02-17-2021

Unique Business Model of Norwegian Oil Service Firm Has Long-Term Value

By William Barnes Experiential Value 02-12-2016