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T. Rowe Price Group (T. Rowe Price Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is T. Rowe Price Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, T. Rowe Price Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of T. Rowe Price Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, T. Rowe Price Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


T. Rowe Price Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, T. Rowe Price Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where T. Rowe Price Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



T. Rowe Price Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.84

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


T. Rowe Price Group  (NAS:TROW) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


T. Rowe Price Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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T. Rowe Price Group (T. Rowe Price Group) Business Description

Address
100 East Pratt Street, Baltimore, MD, USA, 21202
T. Rowe Price provides asset-management services for individual and institutional investors. It offers a broad range of no-load U.S. and international stock, hybrid, bond, and money market funds. At the end of October 2023, the firm had $1.312 trillion in managed assets, composed of equity (51%), balanced (33%), fixed-income and money market (13%), and alternatives (3%) offerings. Approximately two thirds of the company's managed assets are held in retirement-based accounts, which provides T. Rowe Price with a somewhat stickier client base than most of its peers. The firm also manages private accounts, provides retirement planning advice, and offers discount brokerage and trust services. The company is primarily a U.S.-based asset manager, deriving just over 9% of its AUM from overseas.
Executives
Higginbotham Robert C.t. officer: Vice President 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Thomson Andrew Justin Mackenzie officer: Vice President 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
William P Donnelly director C/O INGERSOLL RAND INC., 525 HARBOUR PLACE DRIVE, SUITE 600, DAVIDSON NC 28036
Andrew C. Mccormick officer: Vice President 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Cynthia F Smith director 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Jessica M Hiebler officer: Principal Accounting Officer 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
William J Stromberg officer: Vice President 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Kimberly H Johnson officer: COO and VP C/O FANNIE MAE, 1100 15TH STREET, NW, WASHINGTON DC 20005
Joshua B Nelson officer: Vice President 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Glenn R August director, officer: Vice President C/O OHA - 1114 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 27TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Eileen P Rominger director 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Sebastien Page officer: Vice President 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Jennifer B Dardis other: CFO and VP 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Mary K Bush director 3509 WOODBINE STREET, CHEVY CHASE MD 20815
W. Sharps Robert officer: Vice President 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202