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Unity Biotechnology (Unity Biotechnology) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.22% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Unity Biotechnology Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Unity Biotechnology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.22%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Unity Biotechnology's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Unity Biotechnology's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Unity Biotechnology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Unity Biotechnology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Unity Biotechnology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Unity Biotechnology Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.12

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.22%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Unity Biotechnology  (NAS:UBX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Unity Biotechnology Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Unity Biotechnology (Unity Biotechnology) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
285 East Grand Avenue, South San Francisco, CA, USA, 94080
Unity Biotechnology Inc designs therapeutics that prevent, halt, and reverse various diseases of aging. The company focuses on clearing senescent cells, and creating senolytic medicines. Its medicines target vulnerabilities unique to senescent cells to clear those cells from the human body while leaving normal cells unaffected. The firm focuses on age-associated diseases such as osteoarthritis, eye diseases, and pulmonary diseases.
Executives
Anirvan Ghosh director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O UNITY BIOTECHNOLOGY, INC., 285 EAST GRAND AVENUE, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Jamie Dananberg officer: Chief Medical Officer 3280 BAYSHORE BOULEVARD, BRISBANE CA 94005
Michael P. Samar director C/O ASSEMBLY BIOSCIENCES, INC., 11711 N. MERIDIAN ST. SUITE 310, CARMEL IN 46032
Alexander Hieu Nguyen officer: See Remarks C/O UNITY BIOTECHNOLOGY, INC., 285 EAST GRAND AVENUE, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Nathaniel E David director, officer: President C/O KYTHERA BIOPHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 27200 WEST AGOURA ROAD, SUITE 200, CALABASAS CA 91301
Gilmore Neil O'neill director 215 FIRST STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Alexander Azoy officer: See Remarks 30699 RUSSELL RANCH ROAD, SUITE 140, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91362
Lynne Marie Sullivan officer: See Remarks C/O SOLID BIOSCIENCES, LLC, 141 PORTLAND STREET, FIFTH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Robert Nelsen director 8755 W. HIGGINS ROAD, SUITE 1025, CHICAGO IL 60631
Graham K Cooper director C/O RECEPTOS, INC., 10835 ROAD TO THE CURE, SUITE 205, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Paul L Berns director 11080 CIRCLEPOINT RD., STE, 200, WESTMINSTER CO 80020
Camille D Samuels director 2463 JACKSON ST., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94115
Kristina Burow director 8755 W. HIGGINS ROAD, SUITE 1025, CHICAGO IL 60631
David L. Lacey director 3280 BAYSHORE BOULEVARD, BRISBANE CA 94005
Dan Marquess officer: Chief Scientific Officer 3280 BAYSHORE BOULEVARD, BRISBANE CA 94005