USD Partners LP (USD Partners LP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 58.32% (As of May. 15, 2024)

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What is USD Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, USD Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 58.32%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of USD Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Railroads subindustry, USD Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

USD Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, USD Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where USD Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

USD Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

0.34

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	58.32%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

USD Partners LP (OTCPK:USDP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

USD Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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USD Partners LP (USD Partners LP) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » USD Partners LP (OTCPK:USDP) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

811 Main Street, Suite 2800, Houston, TX, USA, 77002

Website

https://www.usdpartners.com

USD Partners LP is formed to acquire, develop and operate midstream infrastructure and complementary logistics solutions for crude oil, biofuels and other energy-related products. The company's network of crude oil terminals facilitates the transportation of heavy crude oil from Western Canada to key demand centers across North America. The company's operations include railcar loading and unloading, storage and blending in onsite tanks, inbound and outbound pipeline connectivity, truck transloading, and other related logistics services. The company also provides one of the customers with leased railcars and fleet services to facilitate the transportation of liquid hydrocarbons by rail. The company manages its business in two reportable segments: Terminalling services and Fleet services.

Executives

Jeffrey P. Wood	director, other: SEE REMARKS	EAGLE ROCK ENERGY PARTNERS, L.P., P.O. BOX 2968, HOUSTON TX 77252-2968
Keith Benson	officer: SEE REMARKS	C/O USD PARTNERS LP, 811 MAIN STREET, SUITE 2800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Francesco Ciabatti	director, other: See Remarks.	51 JOHN F. KENNEDY PARKWAY, SUITE 200, SHORT HILLS NJ 07078
Dan Borgen	director, officer: SEE REMARKS	9500 NEW CENTURY, PASADENA TX 77507
Michael Ray Curry	director, other: SEE REMARKS	C/O USD PARTNERS LP, 811 MAIN STREET, SUITE 2800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Energy Capital Partners Iii, Lp	10 percent owner	51 JOHN F. KENNEDY PARKWAY, SUITE 200, SHORT HILLS NJ 07078
Michael Jay Stanford	officer: Vice President, CAO	811 MAIN ST., SUITE 2800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Energy Capital Partners Gp Iii, Lp	director, 10 percent owner	40 BEECHWOOD ROAD, SUMMIT NJ 07901
G Stacy Smith	director, other: SEE REMARKS	300 CRESCENT COURT SUITE 1111, DALLAS TX 75201
Ecp Controlco, Llc	director, 10 percent owner	40 BEECHWOOD ROAD, SUMMIT NJ 07901
Joshua Dean Ruple	officer: SEE REMARKS	811 MAIN STREET, SUITE 2800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Schuyler Coppedge	director, other: SEE REMARKS	C/O USD PARTNERS LP, 811 MAIN STREET, SUITE 2800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Paul Leray Tucker	officer: SEE REMARKS	C/O USD PARTNERS LP, 811 MAIN STREET, SUITE 2800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Adam K Altsuler	officer: SEE REMARKS	C/O USD PARTNERS LP, 811 MAIN STREET, SUITE 2800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Energy Capital Partners Iii-b (usd Ip), Lp	director, 10 percent owner	51 JOHN F. KENNEDY PARKWAY, SUITE 200, SHORT HILLS NJ 07078