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Werner Enterprises (Werner Enterprises) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Werner Enterprises Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Werner Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Werner Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Trucking subindustry, Werner Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Werner Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Werner Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Werner Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Werner Enterprises Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.66

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Werner Enterprises  (NAS:WERN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Werner Enterprises Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Werner Enterprises (Werner Enterprises) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
14507 Frontier Road, Post Office Box 45308, Omaha, NE, USA, 68145-0308
Werner Enterprises Inc ranks among the top five full-truckload carriers by revenue, with a fleet of more than 7,800 tractors, including owner-operators. The company has two reportable segments - TTS and Werner Logistics. It derives about 80% of its top line from a wide array of full-truckload shipping services (including dedicated contract carriage; roughly 20% comes from non-asset based logistics operations, including truck brokerage.
Executives
Michelle D. Greene director 1141 N. OLD WORLD 3RD STREET, UNIT # 2414, MILWAUKEE WI 53203
Christopher D Wikoff officer: Exec VP - Treasurer & CFO P.O. BOX 45308, OMAHA NE 68145
Eric J Downing officer: Exec VP and COO P.O. BOX 45308, OMAHA NE 68145
Carmen A Tapio director P.O. BOX 45308, OMAHA NE 68145
Michelle Dye Livingstone director P.O. BOX 45308, OMAHA NE 68145
Scott C Arves director SCHNEIDER NATIONAL, INC., P.O. BOX 2545, GREEN BAY WI 54306
Alexi Wellman director ALTABA, 140 E 45TH STREET, 15TH FLOOR, SUITE 15A, NEW YORK NY 10017
Vikram Mansharamani director P.O. BOX 45308, OMAHA NE 68145
Jim S Schelbe officer: Vice President - Sales C/O WERNER ENTERPRISES INC, PO BO X45308, OMAHA NE 68415-0308
H Marty Nordlund officer: Senior VP-Specialized Services PO BOX 45308, OMAHA NE 68145-0308
Derek J Leathers officer: Senior VP - Van PO BOX 45308, OMAHA NE 68145-0308
Craig T Callahan officer: VP Logistics & Corporate Sales P.O. BOX 45308, OMAHA NE 68145
Clarence L Werner director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer PO BOX 45308, OMAHA NE 68145
Daragh P Mahon officer: Executive Vice President & CIO P.O. BOX 45308, OMAHA NE 68145
James Lynn Johnson officer: Vice President - Controller PO BOX 45308, OMAHA NE 68145-0308

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