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Yunhong Green CTI (Yunhong Green CTI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.14% (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Yunhong Green CTI Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Yunhong Green CTI's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.14%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Yunhong Green CTI's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Yunhong Green CTI's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Yunhong Green CTI's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Yunhong Green CTI's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Yunhong Green CTI's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Yunhong Green CTI Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.59

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.14%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Yunhong Green CTI  (NAS:YHGJ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Yunhong Green CTI Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Yunhong Green CTI (Yunhong Green CTI) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
22160 North Pepper Road, Lake Barrington, IL, USA, 60010
Yunhong Green CTI Ltd manufacturers and marketers of custom film packaging products, novelty balloons, candy and balloon gift solutions. The company's products include 100% biodegradable and compostable resins, and include the following finished products: shopping bags, grocery bags, rolled clear bags for food, trash bags, large bin liners, garment bags, takeaway bags, mailing and shipping bags, and many other consumer and commercial products and applications.
Executives
Wan Zhang director WUHANOPTICSVALLEY BIOTECHACCELERATOR 3.1, 388 GAOXIN SECOND RD. DONGHU NEW DIST, WUHAN CITY, HUBEI PROVINCE F4 430040
Yaping Zhang director WUHANOPTICSVALLEY BIOTECHACCELERATOR 3.1, 388 GAOXIN SECOND RD, DONGHU NEW DIST, WUHAN CITY, HUBEI PROVINCE F4 430040
Yubao Li director 4 19/F, 126 ZHONG BEI, WUCHANG DISTRICT F4 430061
Lf International Pte. Ltd. 10 percent owner 4 19/F, 126 ZHONG BEI, WUCHANG DISTRICT F4 430061
Art Gisonni director 22160 NORTH PEPPER ROAD, LAKE BARRINGTON IL 60010
John H Schwan director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman, CEO 22160 N PEPPER ROAD, BARRINGTON IL 60010
Samuel Komar officer: Vice President Marketing 22160 N PEPPER ROAD, BARRINGTON IL 60010
Frank Cesario officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ISCO INTERNATIONAL INC, 451 KIGSTON COURT, MT PROSPECT IL 60056
Jeffrey S Hyland director, officer: President 22160 N. PEPPER ROAD, BARRINGTON IL 60010
Stephen M Merrick director, 10 percent owner, officer: Secretary, Executive VP 401 S LASALLE STREET SUITE 1302, CHICAGO IL 60605
Stanley M Brown director 747 GLENN AVE, WHEELING IL 60090
John M Klimek director 136 CHESTERFIELD INDUSTRIAL BOULEVARD, CHESTERFIELD MO 63005
Howard C Eirinberg director 22160 PEPPER ROAD, BARRINGTON IL 60010
Miguel Orlando Martinez officer: Vice President Pouch Products 22160 N. PEPPER ROAD, BARRINGTON IL 60010
Rahul P Deshmukh officer: Vice President of Operations 22160 N. PEPPER ROAD, BARRINGTON IL 60010

Yunhong Green CTI (Yunhong Green CTI) Headlines

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