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Zurn Elkay Water Solutions (Zurn Elkay Water Solutions) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Zurn Elkay Water Solutions's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Zurn Elkay Water Solutions's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Pollution & Treatment Controls subindustry, Zurn Elkay Water Solutions's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Zurn Elkay Water Solutions's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Zurn Elkay Water Solutions's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zurn Elkay Water Solutions's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.37

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Zurn Elkay Water Solutions  (NYSE:ZWS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Zurn Elkay Water Solutions (Zurn Elkay Water Solutions) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
511 West Freshwater Way, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53204
Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corp designs procure, manufactures, and markets a range of clean water solutions for drinking water, hygiene, and sustainable water management. The Zurn Elkay product portfolio includes professional-grade water control and safety, water distribution and drainage, drinking water, finish plumbing, hygienic, environmental and site works products for public and private spaces.
Executives
Michael Troutman officer: Chief Information Officer 247 FRESHWATER WAY, SUITE 300, MILWAUKEE WI 53204
Craig Wehr officer: Group Ex., President-Zurn C/O REXNORD CORPORATION, P.O. BOX 2022, MILWAUKEE WI 53201
Emma M Mctague director 1917 FOUR WHEEL DRIVE, OSHKOSH WI 54902
Jeffrey A Schoon officer: Executive Vice President 511 W. FRESHWATER WAY, MILWAUKEE WI 53204
Kate Silha officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 511 W. FRESHWATER WAY, MILWAUKEE WI 53204
Rodney Jackson officer: SVP-Bus.&Corp. Development C/O REXNORD CORPORATION, P.O. BOX 2022, MILWAUKEE WI 53201
Sudhanshu Chhabra officer: VP-Zurn Business Systems C/O REXNORD CORPORATION, 247 FRESHWATER WAY, SUITE 300, MILWAUKEE WI 53204
Thomas Christopoul director RESOURCES CONNECTION INC, 17101 ARMSTRONG AVENUE, IRVINE CA 92614
Katz 2004 Dyn Trust 10 percent owner C/O ERROL R. HALPERIN, 444 W. LAKE STREET, SUITE 900, CHICAGO IL 60606
Errol R. Halperin director C/O VITAL THERAPIES, INC., 15010 AVENUE OF SCIENCE, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92128
Timothy J Jahnke director 115 ANSLEY WAY, ROSWELL GA 30075
Hamilton William Edward Iv officer: Pres. Elkay Mfg. Company 511 W. FRESHWATER WAY, MILWAUKEE WI 53204
Cascade Bay Llc 10 percent owner C/O THE NORTHERN TRUST COMPANY, 50 S. LASALLE ST., B-3, CHICAGO IL 60603
Ice Mountain Llc 10 percent owner C/O THE NORTHERN TRUST COMPANY, 50 S. LASALLE ST., B-3, CHICAGO IL 60603
Ronald C. Katz 10 percent owner 827 S. GARFIELD STREET, HINSDALE IL 60521