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Almost Family (Almost Family) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 11.12% (As of Dec. 2017)


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What is Almost Family Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Almost Family's forward rate of return for was 11.12%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Almost Family's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

AFAM's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry.
Industry Median: 15.06
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Almost Family Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Almost Family's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Almost Family Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Almost Family Annual Data
Trend Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -6.84 -13.83 -5.75 7.64 11.12

Almost Family Quarterly Data
Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.64 9.54 10.45 11.48 11.12

Competitive Comparison of Almost Family's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Almost Family's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Almost Family's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Almost Family's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Almost Family's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Almost Family Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Almost Family's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2017 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.51409524/55.35+0.0838
=11.12 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Almost Family  (NAS:AFAM) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Almost Family Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Almost Family's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Almost Family (Almost Family) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Almost Family Inc is a provider of home health services. Its services include rehabilitation services such as physical therapy occupational therapy and speech therapy. It also provides specialty programs and senior care advocacy. The reportable segments of the company are home health, other home based services, and healthcare innovations.
Executives
Reed W Earl Iii director 9510 OMSBY SLATION ROAD, STE 300, LOIISVILLE KY 40223
Clifford S Holtz director 1801 CALIFORNIA, SUITE 5100, DENVER CO 80202
Jonathan Goldberg director 9510 OMSBY SLATION ROAD, STE 300, LOIISVILLE KY 40223
Tyree G Wilburn director
Altman Henry M Jr director 9510 ORMSBY STATION ROAD, SUITE 300, LOUISVILLE KY 40223
Daniel Schwartz officer: SVP & COO C/O ALMOST FAMILY INC., 9510 ORMSBY STATION, SUITE 300, LOUISVILLE KY 40223
Jeff Reibel officer: VP Finance & CAO 9510 ORMSBY STATION ROAD, SUITE 300, LOUISVILLE KY 40223
C Steven Guenthner officer: President & PFO 9510 ORMSBY STATION ROAD, SUITE 300, LOUISVILLE KY 40223
John Shermyen officer: SVP Healthcare Innovations 1800 PHOENIX BLVD., SUITE 120, COLLEGE PARK GA 30349
North Tide Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 500 BOYLSTON STREET, SUITE 1860, BOSTON MA 02116
Laughlin Conan 10 percent owner C/O NORTH TIDE CAPITAL, LLC, 500 BOYLSTON STREET, SUITE 1860, BOSTON MA 02116
North Tide Capital Master, Lp 10 percent owner C/O NORTH TIDE CAPITAL, LLC, 500 BOYLSTON STREET, SUITE 1860, BOSTON MA 02116
Wayne T Smith director 500 WEST MAIN STREET, LOUISVILLE KY 40202

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