What is Gas Natural Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Gas Natural's forward rate of return for was -14.56%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Gas Natural's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
EGAS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Utilities - Regulated industry.
Industry Median: 6.115 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Gas Natural Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
The historical data trend for Gas Natural's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
Gas Natural Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
Competitive Comparison of Gas Natural's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, Gas Natural's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Gas Natural's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry
For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Gas Natural's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Gas Natural's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Gas Natural Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
Gas Natural's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2017 is
Forward Rate of Return
=
Normalized Free Cash Flow
/
Price
+
5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=
-0.368
/
12.7
+
-0.1166
=
-14.56 %
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Gas Natural (AMEX:EGAS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Gas Natural Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Gas Natural's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Gas Natural Inc was incorporated in Montana in 1909 and was reorganized as a holding company in 2009 as a means to facilitate future acquisitions and corporate level financing of natural gas utility and energy-related businesses. On July 9, 2010 the Company moved its state of incorporation to Ohio and changed its name from Energy, Inc. to Gas Natural Inc. The Company is a natural gas company, operating local distribution companies in six states and serving approximately 69,400 customers in total. It reports results in three business segments; Natural Gas, Marketing and Production, Corporate and Other. Natural Gas represents the majority of the Company's revenue, it annually distributes approximately 21 Bcf of natural gas to approximately 68,000 customers through regulated utilities operating in Kentucky, Maine, Montana, North Carolina, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. In the Marketing and Production segment, the Company markets approximately 3.6 Bcf of natural gas to commercial and industrial customers in Montana, Wyoming, Ohio, and Pennsylvania through EWR and GNR subsidiaries. Its EWR subsidiary also manages midstream supply and production assets for transportation customers and utilities. Corporate and Other encompasses the results of corporate acquisitions and other equity transactions and discontinued operations. Included in corporate and other are costs associated with business development and acquisitions, dividend income and recognized gains from the sale of marketable securities. In the Company's natural gas operations, it generally faces competition in the distribution and sales of natural gas from suppliers of other fuels, including coal, electricity, oil and propane. Its utility operations are subject to regulation by the KPSC, MPUC, MPSC, NCUC, PUCO, and the PaPUC. These authorities regulate many aspects of Company's distribution operations, including construction and maintenance of facilities, operations, safety, and regulatory rates charged to customers which control the rate of return it is allowed to realize.
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