GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Beach Energy Ltd (ASX:BPT) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

Beach Energy (ASX:BPT) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 7.89% (As of Jun. 2023)


View and export this data going back to 1972. Start your Free Trial

What is Beach Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Beach Energy's forward rate of return for was 7.89%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Beach Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:BPT' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.16   Med: -0.63   Max: 15.33
Current: 7.05

During the past 13 years, Beach Energy's highest Forward Rate of Return was 15.33. The lowest was -7.16. And the median was -0.63.

ASX:BPT's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
60.58% of 591 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 12.06 vs ASX:BPT: 7.05

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Beach Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Beach Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Beach Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Beach Energy Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 13.45 7.89

Beach Energy Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 13.45 - 7.89 -

Competitive Comparison of Beach Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Beach Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Beach Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Beach Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Beach Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Beach Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Beach Energy's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.07516667/1.35+0.0232
=7.89 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Beach Energy  (ASX:BPT) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Beach Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Beach Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Beach Energy (ASX:BPT) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Beach Energy Ltd (ASX:BPT) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
80 Flinders Street, Level 8, Adelaide, SA, AUS, 5000
Beach produces oil, gas, and gas liquids from numerous joint ventures in the onshore Cooper and Eromanga basins. Beach merged with Cooper Basin joint-venture partner Drillsearch Energy Limited in March 2016, which increased equity production to about 10 million barrels of oil equivalent. This more than doubled to over 20 million barrels of oil equivalent following the successful purchase of Lattice from Origin Energy in 2018. The average field life is 10 years based on forecast production and 255 mmboe of proven and probable reserves. We credit life of around 15 years, assuming substantial conversion of 2C contingent resources into reserve category with drilling. Shale gas resources are blue-sky.