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Avon Products (Avon Products) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Mar. 2023)


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What is Avon Products Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Avon Products's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Avon Products's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

AVP' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -342.4   Med: 44.73   Max: 399.9
Current: 14.71

During the past 13 years, Avon Products's highest Forward Rate of Return was 399.90. The lowest was -342.40. And the median was 44.73.

AVP's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry.
Industry Median: 7.5 vs AVP: 14.71

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Avon Products Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Avon Products's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Avon Products Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Avon Products Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.65 26.36 - - -

Avon Products Quarterly Data
Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Avon Products's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, Avon Products's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Avon Products's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Avon Products's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Avon Products's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Avon Products Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Avon Products's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.00704762/0+-0.0547
=0 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Avon Products  (NYSE:AVP) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Avon Products Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Avon Products's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Avon Products (Avon Products) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Nunn Mills Road, Lancaster House, Northampton, GBR, NN1 5PA
Avon Products Inc is a firm which manufactures and sells beauty and related products. Avon's product mix consists of beauty (cosmetics, fragrances, and skin care), fashion (accessories and apparel), and home (home products and gifts). Generating, a majority of its revenue from Beauty. The company's geographic operating segments includes Avon International and Avon Latin America.
Executives
Gustavo Arnal officer: Executive Vice President, CFO C/O AVON PRODUCTS, INC., 1 AVON PLACE, SUFFERN NY 10901
Fernandez Calero Miguel Angel officer: Global President 800 W. OLYMPIC BLVD. SUITE 406, LOS ANGELES CA 90015
James A Mitarotonda director 888 SEVENTH AVENUE 17TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10019
Chan Galbato director 191 E NORTH AVENUE, CAROL STREAM IL 60188
Nancy Killefer director 3170 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE, FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Helen Mccluskey director 2211 REDDING ROAD, FAIRFIELD CT 06430
Lenard Tessler director C/O ALBERTSONS COMPANIES, INC., 250 E. PARKCENTER BLVD., BOISE ID 83706
W Don Cornwell director
Susan J Kropf director C/O AVON PRODUCTS INC, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105-0196
Cathy D Ross director 901 44TH STREET SE, GRAND RAPIDS MI 49508
James E Thompson officer: Senior Vice President 250 EAST FIFTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Charles H Noski director ONE PICKWICK PLAZA, GREENWICH CT 06830
Steven F Mayer director 11812 SAN VICENTE BLVD. # 300, LOS ANGELES CA 90049
Sherilyn S Mccoy director, officer: CEO JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
James S Scully officer: EVP, COO C/O J. CREW GROUP, INC., 770 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10003