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Campbell Soup Co (Campbell Soup Co) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 10.72% (As of Jan. 2024)


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What is Campbell Soup Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Campbell Soup Co's forward rate of return for was 10.72%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Campbell Soup Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

CPB' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.9   Med: 7.87   Max: 12.64
Current: 10.61

During the past 13 years, Campbell Soup Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 12.64. The lowest was 2.90. And the median was 7.87.

CPB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
58.02% of 1265 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 7.5 vs CPB: 10.61

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Campbell Soup Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Campbell Soup Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Campbell Soup Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Campbell Soup Co Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.43 8.55 10.35 7.80 11.60

Campbell Soup Co Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.44 9.76 11.60 11.88 10.72

Competitive Comparison of Campbell Soup Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Campbell Soup Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Campbell Soup Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Campbell Soup Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Campbell Soup Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Campbell Soup Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Campbell Soup Co's Forward Rate of Return of Jan. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=3.07466667/44.63+0.0383
=10.72 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Campbell Soup Co  (NYSE:CPB) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Campbell Soup Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Campbell Soup Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Campbell Soup Co (Campbell Soup Co) Business Description

Address
1 Campbell Place, Camden, NJ, USA, 08103-1799
With a history that dates back around 150 years, Campbell Soup is now a leading manufacturer and marketer of branded convenience food products, most notably soup. The firm's product assortment includes well-known brands like Campbell's, Pace, Prego, Swanson, V8, and Pepperidge Farm. Following the sale of its international snacking operations in calendar 2019, the firm derives nearly all of its sales from the United States. Campbell has made a handful of acquisitions to reshape its product mix in the past several years, including the tie-up with Snyder's-Lance in March 2018, which enhanced its exposure to the faster-growing on-trend snack food aisle, complementing its Pepperidge Farm lineup.
Executives
Anthony Sanzio officer: Executive Vice President 1 CAMPBELL PLACE, CAMDEN NJ 08103
Stanley Polomski officer: Vice President and Controller ONE CAMPBELL PLACE, CAMDEN NJ 08103
Carrie L Anderson officer: Executive Vice President & CFO 3005 HIGHLAND PARKWAY, SUITE 200, DOWNERS GROVE IL 60515
Adam Grey Ciongoli officer: Senior Vice President ONE CAMPBELL PLACE, CAMDEN NJ 08103
Bennett Jr Dorrance director 1, CAMPBELL PLACE, CAMDEN NJ 08103
Craig Slavtcheff officer: Senior Vice President 1 CAMPBELL PLACE, CAMDEN NJ 08103
Daniel L Poland officer: EVP, Chief Supply Chain Off. 399 JEFFERSON ROAD, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
May Diane Johnson officer: Executive VP & CHRO C/O KRAFT FOODS GROUP, INC., THREE LAKES DRIVE, NORTHFIELD IL 60093
Grant Hill director 121 ORANGE AVE, SUITE 1500, ORLANDO FL 32801
Valerie Oswalt officer: Executive Vice President 1 CAMPBELL PLACE, ATTN: LEGAL DEPARTMENT, CAMDEN NJ 08103
Mick J Beekhuizen officer: Senior Vice President & CFO C/O GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO., 85 BROAD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10004
Robert Furbee officer: Senior Vice President ONE CAMPBELL PLACE, CAMDEN NJ 08103
Randall W Larrimore director OLIN CORPORATION, 190 CARONDELET PLAZA, SUITE 1530, CLAYTON MO 63105
Christopher Foley officer: Senior Vice President CAMPBELL SOUP COMPANY, ONE CAMPBELL PLACE, CAMDEN NJ 08103
John P Bilbrey director

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