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Crawford United (Crawford United) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 15.85% (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Crawford United Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Crawford United's forward rate of return for was 15.85%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Crawford United's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

CRAWA' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -26.4   Med: 15.95   Max: 29.05
Current: 14.22

During the past 13 years, Crawford United's highest Forward Rate of Return was 29.05. The lowest was -26.40. And the median was 15.95.

CRAWA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
65.06% of 1926 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 8.93 vs CRAWA: 14.22

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Crawford United Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Crawford United's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Crawford United Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Crawford United Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 24.64 24.09 15.85

Crawford United Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 24.09 20.41 18.30 15.72 15.85

Competitive Comparison of Crawford United's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Crawford United's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Crawford United's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Crawford United's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Crawford United's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Crawford United Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Crawford United's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=2.00380952/31.02+0.0939
=15.85 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Crawford United  (OTCPK:CRAWA) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Crawford United Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Crawford United's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Crawford United (Crawford United) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
10514 Dupont Avenue, Cleveland, OH, USA, 44108
Crawford United Corp is engaged in providing specialty industrial products to diverse markets of healthcare, education, automotive, aerospace, trucking, and petrochemical. The company operates through the following segments, namely Commercial Air Handling Equipment, which is into designing, manufacturing, and installing large-scale commercial, institutional, and industrial custom air handling solutions; and Industrial & Transportation Products, which is into the manufacture of flexible interlocking metal hoses and the distribution of silicone and hydraulic hoses. The company's geographical segments include the United States, Puerto Rico, Mexico, Canada, and Others.
Executives
Matthew V Crawford director
Edward F Crawford director
James W Wert director
Jay Daly officer: Chief Financial Officer 10514 DUPONT AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44108
Luis Enrique Jimenez director 10514 DUPONT AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44108
George Richard Hart officer: Vice President of Engineering C/O HICKOK INCORPORATED, 10514 DUPONT AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44108
Kelly Kuna officer: Chief Financial Officer 6050 OAK TREE BLVD., SUITE #500, CLEVELAND OH 44131
Steven Rosen director, 10 percent owner 25101 CHAGRIN BOULEVARD SUITE 350, BEACHWOOD OH 44122
Brian E Powers director 25101 CHAGRIN BLVD., SUITE 210, CLEVELAND OH 44122
Three Bears Trust 10 percent owner 1660 WEST 2ND STREET, SUITE 1100, CLEVELAND OH 44122
Jennifer Aplin Elliot director, 10 percent owner 1178 BELLINGHAM DR., OCEANSIDE CA 92057
Roundball Llc 10 percent owner 1660 WEST 2ND STREET SUITE 1100, CLEVELAND OH 44113
Kirin Smith director C/O HICKOK INCORPORATED, 10514 DUPONT AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44108
Patrick R Bauman officer: Vice President Sales/Marketing 851 STUART AVENUE, SOUTH EUCLID OH 44121
James F Allen officer: Vice President Manufacturing 1307 JANE LANE, GREENWOOD MS 38930

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