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Epsilon Energy (Epsilon Energy) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 28.59% (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Epsilon Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Epsilon Energy's forward rate of return for was 28.59%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Epsilon Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

EPSN' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -10.87   Med: -3.19   Max: 30.94
Current: 28.04

During the past 13 years, Epsilon Energy's highest Forward Rate of Return was 30.94. The lowest was -10.87. And the median was -3.19.

EPSN's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
85.11% of 591 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 12.06 vs EPSN: 28.04

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Epsilon Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Epsilon Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Epsilon Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Epsilon Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 2.78 27.53 28.59

Epsilon Energy Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.53 30.23 28.37 28.52 28.59

Competitive Comparison of Epsilon Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Epsilon Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Epsilon Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Epsilon Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Epsilon Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Epsilon Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Epsilon Energy's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.43657143/5.08+0.2
=28.59 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Epsilon Energy  (NAS:EPSN) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Epsilon Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Epsilon Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Epsilon Energy (Epsilon Energy) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Epsilon Energy Ltd (NAS:EPSN) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
500 Dallas Street, Suite 1250, Houston, TX, USA, 77002
Epsilon Energy Ltd is engaged in the acquisition, development, gathering, and production of natural gas and oil reserves. The operating segments of the company include Upstream segment activities include acquisition, development, and production of natural gas reserves on properties within the United States. The Gas Gathering segment partners with two other companies to operate a natural gas gathering system, and the corporate segment activities include corporate listing and governance functions of the corporation. The company generates revenue from the sale of crude oil and natural gas.
Executives
Jason Stabell director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 16945 NORTHCHASE DR., SUITE 1610, HOUSTON TX 77060
Solas Capital Management, Llc 10 percent owner 1063 POST ROAD, 2ND FLOOR, DARIEN CT 06820
Jason Stankowski director 3160 COLLEGE AVE, SUITE 203, BERKELEY CA 94705
Nicola L Maddox director 6331 CONCHO BAY DR, HOUSTON TX 77041
Andrew Williamson officer: Chief Financial Officer 16945 NORTHCHASE DR., SUITE 1610, HOUSTON TX 77060
John Lovoi director 3505 W SAM HOUSTON PKWY NORTH, SUITE 400, HOUSTON TX 77043
David W Winn director 5217 HOLLY ST., BELLAIRE TX 77401
Tucker Golden Frederick 10 percent owner C/O SOLAS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 1063 POST ROAD, 2ND FLOOR, DARIEN CT 06820
Bruce Lane Bond officer: Chief Financial Officer 6206 CORAL RIDGE RD., HOUSTON TX 77069
Stephen Finlayson director 3621 TIMBERSIDE CIRCLE DR., HOUSTON TX 77025
Ryan Roebuck director 16701 GREENSPOINT PARK DR., SUITE 195, HOUSTON TX 77060
Oakview Capital Management, L.p. 10 percent owner 3879 MAPLE AVE., SUITE 300, DALLAS TX 75219
Azvalor Asset Management Sgiic Sa 10 percent owner PASEO DE LA CASTELLANA 110, MADRID U3 28046
Matthew Dougherty director 180 N. STETSON AVE, SUITE 5500, CHICAGO IL 60601
Adrian Montgomery director 16701 GREENSPOINT PARK DRIVE, SUITE 195, HOUSTON TX 77060

Epsilon Energy (Epsilon Energy) Headlines

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