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New World China Land (FRA:NWO) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -3.30% (As of Jun. 2015)


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What is New World China Land Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. New World China Land's forward rate of return for was -3.30%.

The historical rank and industry rank for New World China Land's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:NWO's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Real Estate industry.
Industry Median: 4.97
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


New World China Land Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for New World China Land's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

New World China Land Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

New World China Land Annual Data
Trend Jun06 Jun07 Jun08 Jun09 Jun10 Jun11 Jun12 Jun13 Jun14 Jun15
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -6.78 -6.43 -5.21 9.67 -3.30

New World China Land Semi-Annual Data
Jun04 Jun05 Jun06 Jun07 Jun08 Dec08 Jun09 Dec09 Jun10 Dec10 Jun11 Dec11 Jun12 Dec12 Jun13 Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 9.67 - -3.30 -

Competitive Comparison of New World China Land's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, New World China Land's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


New World China Land's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, New World China Land's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where New World China Land's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



New World China Land Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

New World China Land's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2015 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-0.0385/0.51+0.0624
=-1.31 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


New World China Land  (FRA:NWO) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


New World China Land Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

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New World China Land (FRA:NWO) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
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Address
New World China Land Ltd is a real estate company. It develops and invests in properties and real estate in China. The firm's projects include residential communities, serviced apartments, villas, offices, shopping centers, mixed-use comprehensive buildings, hotels, and resorts. It derives the majority of its revenues from proceeds from the sale of properties. The company's majority of assets and operation are located in China.

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