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Agria (GRO) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Jun. 2016)


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What is Agria Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Agria's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Agria's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

GRO's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry.
Industry Median: 7.58
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Agria Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Agria's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Agria Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Agria Annual Data
Trend Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Jun11 Jun12 Jun13 Jun14 Jun15 Jun16
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.96 2.09 5.54 - -

Agria Semi-Annual Data
Dec05 Jun06 Dec06 Jun07 Dec07 Jun08 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Jun11 Dec11 Jun12 Dec12 Jun13 Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.54 - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Agria's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Farm Products subindustry, Agria's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Agria's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Agria's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Agria's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Agria Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Agria's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2016 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0/0.87+0
=0.00 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Agria  (NYSE:GRO) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Agria Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Agria's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Agria (GRO) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Agria Corp was incorporated as a Cayman Islands company in May 2007. The Company is an international agricultural company with operations in New Zealand, Australia, South America and China through its subsidiaries and consolidated structured entities. It has three principal business segments: Seed and Grain - This business segment is engaged in research and development, production, and sale of seed products including forage, turf, maize, corn, cereal and vegetable seeds. Its business also includes multiplication of seed for international customers and trading of seed and grain products globally. Crop Protection, Nutrients and Merchandise - This business segment operates an extensive chain of retail stores that supply farm input materials including chemicals, fertilizers, pollination products, frost protection products, fencing, animal health and nutrition products, grains and seeds, clothing, leisure goods, and gardening equipment. It offers plant nutrition options, supported by industry- knowledge of the specific products and application protocols. Rural Services - This business segment offers services critical to the agricultural economy, including: Livestock - Livestock agents for sheep, beef, dairy, deer farmers, meat processors and livestock exporters. It is engaged in trading livestock through auctions, private on-farm sales, and online or direct sales to meat processors; Wool - Sales agents for sheep farmers, through auctions, forward contracts and private sales; and providing a comprehensive range of services to grower clients and wool processors including on-farm assistance, in-store wool handling and export processing; Irrigation and Pumping - Design, construction, installation and servicing of irrigation and pumping systems; Real Estate - Real estate brokerage focused on farm sales with additional transactions in lifestyle and residential properties; and Insurance - Insurance brokerage providing insurance products. The Company operates predominantly in New Zealand, Australia, South America and China. The Australian and South American business units facilitate the export sales and services of New Zealand operations in addition to their own seed trading operations. Inter-segment pricing is determined on an arm's length basis.

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