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BMC Stock Holdings (BMC Stock Holdings) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 23.74% (As of Sep. 2020)


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What is BMC Stock Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. BMC Stock Holdings's forward rate of return for was 23.74%.

The historical rank and industry rank for BMC Stock Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

BMCH' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.06   Med: 20.42   Max: 25.34
Current: 22.94

During the past 10 years, BMC Stock Holdings's highest Forward Rate of Return was 25.34. The lowest was 0.06. And the median was 20.42.

BMCH's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked
in the Construction industry.
Industry Median: 6.665 vs BMCH: 22.94

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


BMC Stock Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for BMC Stock Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

BMC Stock Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

BMC Stock Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 13.79 20.84

BMC Stock Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.40 20.84 25.02 25.68 23.74

Competitive Comparison of BMC Stock Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, BMC Stock Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BMC Stock Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, BMC Stock Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BMC Stock Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



BMC Stock Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

BMC Stock Holdings's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2020 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.49866667/42.83+0.2
=23.50 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


BMC Stock Holdings  (NAS:BMCH) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


BMC Stock Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of BMC Stock Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


BMC Stock Holdings (BMC Stock Holdings) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
8020 Arco Corporate Drive, Suite 400, Raleigh, NC, USA, 27617
BMC Stock Holdings Inc is a diversified lumber and building materials distributor and solutions provider. Its primary products are lumber and lumber sheet goods, millwork, doors, flooring, windows, and structural components, among others. The company offers services such as lock keying, decking and docking, cabinet specialists, showroom and design centers, window and door replacement, and others. It sells its products under the brand name Metrie, Huber, Trex, James Hardie, and Jeld-Wen among others. The company's reportable divisions are the Mid-Atlantic, Southeast, Texas, Intermountain and Western divisions.
Executives
Major James F. Jr. officer: See Remarks C/O STOCK BUILDING SUPPLY HOLDINGS, INC. 8020 ARCO CORPORATE DRIVE RALEIGH NC 27617
David E Flitman director, officer: See Remarks C/O NALCO COMPANY, 1601 WEST DIEHL ROAD, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
James Oleary director
David W Bullock director C/O GRAHAM PACKAGING HOLDINGS COMPANY, 2401 PLEASANT VALLEY ROAD, YORK PA 17402
Boydston Cory Jacobs director C/O BMC STOCK HOLDINGS, INC., 4800 FALLS OF NEUSE RD, SUITE 400, RALEIGH NC 27617
Henry Buckley director TWO LAKE SIDE COMMONS - BUILDING TWO 980 HAMMOND DRIVE,SUITE 500 ATLANTA GA 30328
David L. Keltner director C/O STOCK BUILDING SUPPLY HOLDINGS, INC. 8020 ARCO CORPORATE DR RALEIGH NC 27617
Michael Thomas Miller director C/O INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS, INC., 495 SOUTH HIGH STREET, SUITE 50, COLUMBUS OH 43215
Mark A Alexander director C/O W. P. CAREY INC., 395 9TH AVENUE, 58TH FLOOR, NEW YORK, NEW YORK NY 10001
Vertuca Carl R Jr director 11101 W. 120TH AVENUE, SUITE 200, BROOMFIELD CO 80021
Cheemin Bo-linn director 4555 GREAT AMERICA PARKWAY, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Timothy D Johnson officer: See Remarks 5020 WESTON PARKWAY, SUITE 400, CARY NC 27513
Michael Alan Farmer officer: See Remarks C/O BMC STOCK HOLDINGS, INC., 4800 FALLS OF NEUSE RD, SUITE 400, RALEIGH NC 27609
Lisa M. Hamblet officer: See Remarks C/O STOCK BUILDING SUPPLY HOLDINGS, INC. 8020 ARCO CORPORATE DRIVE RALEIGH NC 27617
Jeffrey Gene Rea director C/O STOCK BUILDING SUPPLY HOLDINGS, INC., 8020 ARCO CORPORATE DRIVE, SUITE 400, RALEIGH NC 27617