What is NorthStar Realty Finance Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. NorthStar Realty Finance's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.
The historical rank and industry rank for NorthStar Realty Finance's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, NorthStar Realty Finance's highest Forward Rate of Return was 87.50. The lowest was -159.20. And the median was -14.90.
NRFPRD.PFD's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the REITs industry.
Industry Median: 8.3 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
NorthStar Realty Finance Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
The historical data trend for NorthStar Realty Finance's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
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NorthStar Realty Finance Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
Competitive Comparison of NorthStar Realty Finance's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
For the REIT - Retail subindustry, NorthStar Realty Finance's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
NorthStar Realty Finance's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the REITs Industry
For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, NorthStar Realty Finance's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where NorthStar Realty Finance's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
NorthStar Realty Finance Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
NorthStar Realty Finance Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of NorthStar Realty Finance's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
NorthStar Realty Finance (NorthStar Realty Finance) Business Description
Northstar Realty Finance Corp is a Maryland corporation formed in October 2003. The Company is an internally managed REIT, and is a diversified commercial real estate investment and asset management company. NorthStar Realty Finance Limited Partnership holds all of the Company's assets and conducts its operation directly or indirectly. The Company invests in multiple asset classes across commercial real estate. These investments are in the form of acquiring real estate, originating or acquiring senior or subordinate loans, as well as CRE investments, both in the United States and internationally. The asset management business is focused on raising and managing capital on a fee basis from alternative sources, which includes non-traded real estate investment trusts, and sponsoring other companies through joint ventures and partnerships, such as RXR Realty, LLC, or RXR Realty. The Company's commercial real estate debt business is focused on originating, structuring, acquiring and managing senior and subordinate debt investments secured by commercial real estate, including first mortgage loans, subordinate interests, mezzanine loans, credit tenant loans and other loans, including preferred equity interests in borrowers who own such properties. The Company competes with many third parties engaged in real estate investment activities including publicly-traded REITs, non-traded REITs, insurance companies, commercial and investment banking firms, private equity funds. The Company is subject to supervision and regulation by state and federal governmental authorities and is subject to various laws and judicial and administrative decisions imposing various requirements and restrictions.
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