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HFF (HF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 21.88% (As of Mar. 2019)


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What is HFF Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. HFF's forward rate of return for was 21.88%.

The historical rank and industry rank for HFF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

HF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Real Estate industry.
Industry Median: 4.92
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


HFF Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for HFF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

HFF Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

HFF Annual Data
Trend Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.06 26.17 26.52 24.76 25.71

HFF Quarterly Data
Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 24.33 27.02 25.75 25.71 21.88

Competitive Comparison of HFF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, HFF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


HFF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, HFF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where HFF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



HFF Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

HFF's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2019 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=2.53542857/47.75+0.1657
=21.88 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


HFF  (NYSE:HF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


HFF Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of HFF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


HFF (HF) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » Real Estate » HFF Inc (NYSE:HF) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2323 Victory Avenue, Suite 1200, One Victory Park, Dallas, TX, USA, 75219
HFF is a leading provider of commercial real estate and capital markets services to the U.S. commercial real estate industry. Acting as an investment bank and broker, the company handles debt placement, investment sales, structured finance, loan sales and commercial loan servicing. Substantially all of HFF's revenue is in the form of capital markets services fees, which are collected from its clients and usually negotiated on a transaction-by-transaction basis.
Executives
Miles George L Jr director 4700 ELLSWORTH AVENUE, #15, PITTSBURGH PA 15213
Steve E Wheeler director C/O WHEELER & CO. LLC, THREE CENTER PLAZA, BOSTON MA 02108
Susan P Miller director C/O HFF,INC., ONE OXFORD CENTRE, 301 GRANT STREET, SUITE 600, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Morgan K Obrien director C/O DQE INC, 411 SEVENTH AVE 16TH FLOOR, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Lenore M Sullivan director
Deborah H Mcaneny director JOHN HANCOCK FINANCIAL SERVICES, PO BOX 111, BOSTON MA 023117
Mark Gibson director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O HFF, INC., 429 FOURTH AVENUE, SUITE 200, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
De Zarraga Manuel A officer: Executive Managing Director C/O HFF, INC., ONE OXFORD CENTRE, 301 GRANT STREET, SUITE 600, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Mchenry T Tichenor director C/O NGM BIOPHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 333 OYSTER POINT BLVD., SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080