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Otelco (Otelco) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 16.14% (As of Dec. 2020)


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What is Otelco Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Otelco's forward rate of return for was 16.14%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Otelco's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

OTEL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Telecommunication Services industry.
Industry Median: 12.06
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Otelco Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Otelco's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Otelco Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Otelco Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 2.37 24.08 16.14

Otelco Quarterly Data
Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 24.08 58.10 19.21 16.99 16.14

Competitive Comparison of Otelco's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Otelco's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Otelco's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Otelco's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Otelco's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Otelco Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Otelco's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2020 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=2.62209524/11.55+-0.0656
=16.14 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Otelco  (NAS:OTEL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Otelco Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Otelco's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Otelco (Otelco) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
505 Third Avenue East, Oneonta, AL, USA, 35121
Otelco Inc is a US-based company, which provides a broad range of telecommunication services on a retail and wholesale basis. It offers communication services related to telephone, long distance, Internet, broadband services and television. The principal markets for these services are business and residential customers residing in and adjacent to the exchanges the company serves in Alabama, Massachusetts, Maine, Missouri, Vermont, and West Virginia. In addition, it also offers cloud hosting and managed services for small and mid-sized companies who rely on mission-critical software applications. The company derives revenue through the source of local services, network access, internet, transport services, video and security and managed services.
Executives
Garner Curtis Lee Jr director, officer: Chief Financial Officer 505 3RD AVENUE EAST ONEONTA AL 35121
Jerry C Boles officer: SVP and Controller 91 HILLTOP ROAD ONEONTA AL 35121
Ira Sochet 10 percent owner 24 NORTH PINE CIRCLE, BELLEAIR FL 33756
Richard Allen Clark director, officer: President & CEO 505 3RD AVE. EAST ONEONTA AL 35121
Norman C Frost director IOWA TELECOMMUNICATIONS SERVICES, INC. 115 S. SECOND AVE. W. NEWTON IA 50208
Howard James Haug director 681 PENN PLACE WINTER PARK FL 32789-2408
Barbara Dondiego director 1375 PEACHTREE STREET ATLANTA GA 30309
Judd Dayton director 878 S. DENTON TAP RD., SUITE 220, COPPELL TX 75019
Gary L Sugarman director C/O MACHTEN, INC., 1516 BARLOW STREET, SUITE D, TRAVERSE CITY MI 49686
Stephen Phillip Mccall director 199 WATER STREET, 20TH FLOOR C/O SEAPORT CAPITAL NEW YORK NY 10038
Robert J. Souza director, officer: President & CEO 12 COLONIAL DRIVE DURHAM ME 04222
Dennis Andrews officer: SVP - Regulatory & HR 40 CHERT ROAD ONEONTA AL 35121
Brian A Ross director 600 TELEPHONE AVE, MS#65, ANCHORAGE AK 99503
Ed Tisdale officer: SVP - Operations P.O. BOX 258 NEW GLOUCESTER ME 04260
E. Todd Wessing officer: VP and GM - Missouri 13869 NORTH HIGHWAY PILOT GROVE MO 65276

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