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Sterling Bancorp (Sterling Bancorp) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 26.30% (As of Sep. 2021)


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What is Sterling Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Sterling Bancorp's forward rate of return for was 26.30%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sterling Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

STL' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 25.51   Med: 51   Max: 75.45
Current: 25.51

During the past 13 years, Sterling Bancorp's highest Forward Rate of Return was 75.45. The lowest was 25.51. And the median was 51.00.

STL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked
in the Banks industry.
Industry Median: 17.925 vs STL: 25.51

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Sterling Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sterling Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sterling Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Sterling Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.82 19.59 25.68 27.53 -

Sterling Bancorp Quarterly Data
Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.53 25.98 26.50 26.30 -

Competitive Comparison of Sterling Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Sterling Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sterling Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Sterling Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sterling Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Sterling Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Sterling Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2021 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=1.95961905/0+0.122
=0 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sterling Bancorp  (NYSE:STL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Sterling Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Sterling Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Sterling Bancorp (Sterling Bancorp) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Two Blue Hill Plaza, Second Floor, Pearl River, New York, NY, USA, 10965
Sterling Bancorp is a financial and bank holding company that operates primarily through its wholly owned subsidiary, Sterling National Bank. Sterling National Bank is a full-service regional bank that primarily delivers products and services to small and middle market commercial businesses and affluent consumers. Those products and services include deposit, lending, and wealth management products. The bank's strategy emphasizes growth, efficiency, and relationship building with its niche target market. It primarily operates in the New York metropolitan and suburban markets. Nearly all of its loan portfolio is in commercial loans, a plurality of which is in commercial real estate, followed by traditional commercial and industrial loans.
Executives
James P Blose officer: General Counsel and CLO C/O 21 SCARSDALE ROAD, YONKERS NY 10707
Javier L. Evans officer: Chief Human Resource Officer 400 RELLA BOULEVARD, MONTEBELLO NY 10901
Luis Massiani officer: EVP/CFO C/O PROVIDENT BANK, 400 RELLA BOULEVARD, MONTEBELLO NY 10901
Jack L Kopnisky director, officer: President & CEO C/O STERLING NATIONAL BANK, 400 RELLA BOULEVARD, MONTEBELLO NY 10901
Thomas X Geisel officer: EVP, President of Specialty Le 400 RELLA BOULEVARD, MONTEBELLO NY 10901
Marissa Weidner officer: Chief Human Resource Officer TWO BLUE HILL PLAZA SECOND FLOOR PEARL RIVER NY 10965
James J Landy director
Beatrice Ordonez officer: Executive Vice President TWO BLUE HILL PLAZA - SECOND FLOOR, PEARL RIVER NY 10965
Patricia M Nazemetz director XEROX CORPORATION, 800 LONG RIDGE ROAD, STAMFORD CT 06904
Richard L. O'toole director C/O STERLING NATIONAL BANK, 400 RELLA BOULEVARD, MONTEBELLO NY 10901
Robert Giambrone director 400 RELLA BOULEVARD, MONTEBELLO NY 10901
Maureen Mitchell director 400 RELLA BOULEVARD, MONTEBELLO NY 10901
Fernando Ferrer director 650 FIFTH AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10019
John P. Cahill director 612 EAST GRASSY SPRAIN ROAD, YONKERS NY 10710
Mona Aboelnaga director 400 RELLA BOULEVARD, MONTEBELLO NY 10901