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SUPERVALU (SUPERVALU) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -3.81% (As of Aug. 2018)


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What is SUPERVALU Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. SUPERVALU's forward rate of return for was -3.81%.

The historical rank and industry rank for SUPERVALU's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

SVU's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Retail - Defensive industry.
Industry Median: 16.43
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


SUPERVALU Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for SUPERVALU's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

SUPERVALU Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

SUPERVALU Annual Data
Trend Feb09 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.62 13.42 30.52 49.16 34.37

SUPERVALU Quarterly Data
Nov13 Feb14 May14 Aug14 Nov14 Feb15 May15 Aug15 Nov15 Feb16 May16 Aug16 Nov16 Feb17 May17 Aug17 Nov17 Feb18 May18 Aug18
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 41.64 17.27 34.37 0.53 -3.81

Competitive Comparison of SUPERVALU's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, SUPERVALU's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SUPERVALU's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, SUPERVALU's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SUPERVALU's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



SUPERVALU Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

SUPERVALU's Forward Rate of Return of Aug. 2018 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=2.98952381/32.29+-0.1307
=-3.81 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


SUPERVALU  (NYSE:SVU) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


SUPERVALU Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of SUPERVALU's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


SUPERVALU (SUPERVALU) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Supervalu is a U.S.-based company that consists of two segments: wholesale and retail. The wholesale segment provides wholesale distribution and logistics services to independent retail customers. The retail segment operates through region-based banners, including Cub Foods, Shoppers Food & Pharmacy, Shop 'n Save, Farm Fresh, and Hornbacher's, along with a few Rainbow and County Market stores. The company provides a broad range of goods, such as grocery, general merchandise, pharmacy, and home, health, and beauty care. The company focuses its business in the domestic market.
Executives
Mathew Pendo director C/O OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., 333 S. GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Frank A Savage director 7075 FLYING CLOUD DRIVE, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
De Luzuriaga Francesca Ruiz director C/O OFFICE DEPOT, INC., 6600 NORTH MILITARY TRAIL, BOCA RATON, FL X1 33496
Irwin Cohen director BARBARA BUISMAN 11840 VALLEY VIEW ROAD EDEN PRAIREI MN 55344
Philip L Francis director AT HOME GROUP INC., 1600 EAST PLANO PARKWAY, PLANO TX 75074
Mary A Winston director 557 BROADWAY, C/O SCHOLASTIC CORP, NEW YORK NY 10012
David William Johnson officer: VP Controller - CAO 11840 VALLEY VIEW ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
Donald R Chappel director 600 PEACHTREE STREET N.E.,, 55TH FLOOR, ATLANTA GA 30308
Eric G Johnson director BALDWIN RICHARDSON FOODS CO, 20201 S LAGRANGE RD, FRANKFORT IL 60423
Susan S Grafton officer: SVP Chief Accounting Officer 11840 VALLEY VIEW ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55397
Bruce H Besanko officer: EVP Chief Oper Officer and CFO N56 W17000 RIDGEWOOD DRIVE, MENOMONEE FALLS WI 53051
Karla C Robertson officer: EVP General Counsel 11840 VALLEY VIEW ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
Sam K Duncan director, officer: Advisor to the Board 11840 VALLEY VIEW ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
Matthew E Rubel director 3231 SE SIXTH AVENUE, TOPEKA KS 66607
Jana Partners Llc 10 percent owner 767 FIFTH AVENUE, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10153

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