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AAR (AIR) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 143.72 (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


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What is AAR Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-06-06), AAR's current share price is $67.55. AAR's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Feb. 2024 was $0.47. AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 143.72.

The historical rank and industry rank for AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AIR' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 19.66   Med: 51.75   Max: 165.09
Current: 148.91

During the past years, AAR's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 165.09. The lowest was 19.66. And the median was 51.75.

AIR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
84.11% of 107 companies
in the Aerospace & Defense industry
Industry Median: 35.49 vs AIR: 148.91

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

AAR's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Feb. 2024 was $0.415. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $0.47 for the trailing ten years ended in Feb. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


AAR Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AAR Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

AAR Annual Data
Trend May14 May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.54 45.44 52.91 47.65 76.89

AAR Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 77.05 76.89 120.71 160.28 143.13

Competitive Comparison of AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



AAR Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=67.55/0.47
=143.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

AAR's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Feb. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, AAR's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Feb. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Feb. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Feb. 2024)
=0.415/130.9299*130.9299
=0.415

Current CPI (Feb. 2024) = 130.9299.

AAR Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201405 1.624 100.373 2.118
201408 0.184 100.352 0.240
201411 0.238 99.635 0.313
201502 -0.699 99.032 -0.924
201505 -1.841 100.333 -2.402
201508 -2.242 100.548 -2.919
201511 0.925 100.135 1.209
201602 -1.215 100.040 -1.590
201605 2.347 101.355 3.032
201608 -0.308 101.617 -0.397
201611 -0.282 101.829 -0.363
201702 -0.327 102.779 -0.417
201705 0.813 103.256 1.031
201708 -0.762 103.587 -0.963
201711 0.081 104.072 0.102
201802 1.101 105.052 1.372
201805 0.797 106.148 0.983
201808 -0.889 106.383 -1.094
201811 -0.351 106.338 -0.432
201902 1.596 106.649 1.959
201905 1.092 108.048 1.323
201908 -1.054 108.245 -1.275
201911 0.251 108.519 0.303
202002 0.026 109.139 0.031
202005 -0.934 108.175 -1.130
202008 1.017 109.662 1.214
202011 0.683 109.793 0.814
202102 0.408 110.968 0.481
202105 0.559 113.576 0.644
202108 0.020 115.421 0.023
202111 0.351 117.269 0.392
202202 0.328 119.703 0.359
202205 0.902 123.323 0.958
202208 0.003 124.958 0.003
202211 -1.504 125.607 -1.568
202302 0.223 126.928 0.230
202305 1.079 128.314 1.101
202308 -0.792 129.538 -0.801
202311 0.286 129.548 0.289
202402 0.415 130.930 0.415

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


AAR  (NYSE:AIR) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


AAR Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of AAR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


AAR (AIR) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1100 N. Wood Dale Road, One AAR Place, Wood Dale, IL, USA, 60191
AAR Corp is engaged in providing products and services to aviation, government, and defense market. It operates in two segments namely Aviation Services and Expeditionary Services. The Aviation Services segment consists of aftermarket support and services businesses that provide spares and maintenance support for aircraft operated by it's commercial and government/defense customers. The Expeditionary Services segment consists of businesses that provide products and services supporting the movement of equipment and personnel by the U.S. Department of Defense, foreign governments, and non-governmental organizations. It generates a majority of its revenue from the Aviation Services Segment.
Executives
Peter Pace director C/O AAR CORP., 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Holmes John Mcclain Iii officer: Group Vice President 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Billy Nolen director 1100 N WOOD DALE RD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Sean M. Gillen officer: VP-CFO 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Eric Pachapa officer: VP, Controller and CAO 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Jessica A. Garascia officer: Vice President and Secretary 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Tracey Patterson officer: Sr. VP & Chief HR Officer 1100 N WOOD DALE RD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Christopher A. Jessup officer: Vice President-CCO 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Jennifer L Vogel director C/O AAR CORP., 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
John W Dietrich director
Anthony Anderson director 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Gilbertson H John Jr director 3005 HIGHLAND PARKWAY, SUITE 200, DOWNERS GROVE IL 60515
David P Storch director, officer: President, CEO & Director C/O AAR CORP, 1111 NICHOLAS BLVD, 1111 NICHOLAS BLVD IL 60007
Michael Ross Boyce director 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Ellen M. Lord director 1100 N. WOOD DALE ROAD, WOOD DALE IL 60191