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Alpek (MEX:ALPEKA) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 3.62 (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


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What is Alpek Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-12-11), Alpek's current share price is MXN14.00. Alpek's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2024 was MXN3.87. Alpek's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 3.62.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alpek's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:ALPEKA' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.8   Med: 8.04   Max: 10.87
Current: 3.43

During the past years, Alpek's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 10.87. The lowest was 2.80. And the median was 8.04.

MEX:ALPEKA's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked better than
96.08% of 510 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 26.17 vs MEX:ALPEKA: 3.43

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Alpek's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2024 was MXN1.167. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN3.87 for the trailing ten years ended in Sep. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Alpek Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alpek's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alpek Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Alpek Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 7.73 8.50 9.06 3.44

Alpek Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.16 3.44 3.43 3.51 3.30

Competitive Comparison of Alpek's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Alpek's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alpek's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Alpek's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alpek's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Alpek Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Alpek's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=14.00/3.87
=3.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alpek's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Alpek's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Sep. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Sep. 2024)
=1.167/155.1579*155.1579
=1.167

Current CPI (Sep. 2024) = 155.1579.

Alpek Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201412 0.265 99.469 0.413
201503 0.259 99.973 0.402
201506 0.910 99.382 1.421
201509 1.295 100.112 2.007
201512 -0.198 101.588 -0.302
201603 -0.353 102.573 -0.534
201606 0.264 101.905 0.402
201609 0.537 103.084 0.808
201612 -0.430 105.002 -0.635
201703 -0.056 108.063 -0.080
201706 1.219 108.339 1.746
201709 -0.429 109.628 -0.607
201712 0.586 112.114 0.811
201803 0.602 113.505 0.823
201806 1.036 113.373 1.418
201809 0.723 115.130 0.974
201812 0.465 117.530 0.614
201903 0.000 118.050 0.000
201906 0.000 117.848 0.000
201909 0.000 118.581 0.000
201912 0.000 120.854 0.000
202003 1.128 121.885 1.436
202006 0.328 121.777 0.418
202009 2.190 123.341 2.755
202012 0.778 124.661 0.968
202103 0.625 127.574 0.760
202106 1.082 128.936 1.302
202109 0.014 130.742 0.017
202112 2.448 133.830 2.838
202203 1.515 137.082 1.715
202206 1.379 139.233 1.537
202209 0.673 142.116 0.735
202212 2.186 144.291 2.351
202303 0.365 146.472 0.387
202306 2.462 146.272 2.612
202309 2.201 148.446 2.301
202312 0.896 151.017 0.921
202403 -0.409 152.947 -0.415
202406 1.292 153.551 1.306
202409 1.167 155.158 1.167

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Alpek  (MEX:ALPEKA) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Alpek Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alpek's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Alpek Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Avenida Gomez Morin Sur No. 1111, Col. Carrizalejo, San Pedro Garza Garcia, NL, MEX, 66254
Alpek SA is a petrochemical company with operations through two business segments: Polyester and Plastic and Chemicals. The Polyester segment comprises the production of purified terephthalic acid (PTA), polyethylene terephthalate (PET), recycled PET (rPET), and polyester fibers, which are mainly used for food and beverage packaging, textile and industrial filament markets, and The Plastics & Chemicals business segment comprises the production of polypropylene (PP), expandable styrene (EPS and Arcel), fertilizers and other chemicals, which serves a wide range of markets, including the consumer goods, automotive, construction, agriculture, pharmaceutical, and other markets. The company derives a majority of its revenue from the polyester segment.

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