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Canadian Tire (TSX:CTC.A) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : C$9.13 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Canadian Tire Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Canadian Tire's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was C$10.715. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is C$9.13 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, Canadian Tire's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 2.90% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.80% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.80% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Canadian Tire was 33.60% per year. The lowest was 2.90% per year. And the median was 20.60% per year.

As of today (2024-04-28), Canadian Tire's current stock price is C$136.55. Canadian Tire's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was C$9.13. Canadian Tire's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 14.96.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Canadian Tire was 77.03. The lowest was 14.00. And the median was 33.45.


Canadian Tire Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Canadian Tire's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Canadian Tire Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Canadian Tire Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.65 8.39 8.82 8.21 9.13

Canadian Tire Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.21 7.59 8.54 8.22 9.13

Competitive Comparison of Canadian Tire's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Canadian Tire's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Canadian Tire's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Canadian Tire's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Canadian Tire's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Canadian Tire Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Canadian Tire's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=10.715/125.4675*125.4675
=10.715

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 125.4675.

Canadian Tire Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 -1.793 98.604 -2.281
201406 2.272 99.473 2.866
201409 -5.197 99.394 -6.560
201412 3.309 98.367 4.221
201503 -3.956 99.789 -4.974
201506 5.688 100.500 7.101
201509 -2.417 100.421 -3.020
201512 5.634 99.947 7.073
201603 -6.186 101.054 -7.681
201606 1.699 102.002 2.090
201609 -0.722 101.765 -0.890
201612 8.274 101.449 10.233
201703 -4.877 102.634 -5.962
201706 3.824 103.029 4.657
201709 -1.837 103.345 -2.230
201712 8.088 103.345 9.819
201803 -6.320 105.004 -7.552
201806 3.805 105.557 4.523
201809 -3.109 105.636 -3.693
201812 9.925 105.399 11.815
201903 -9.839 106.979 -11.539
201906 6.813 107.690 7.938
201909 -4.047 107.611 -4.719
201912 14.841 107.769 17.278
202003 -4.419 107.927 -5.137
202006 21.055 108.401 24.370
202009 6.178 108.164 7.166
202012 10.127 108.559 11.704
202103 -7.833 110.298 -8.910
202106 13.636 111.720 15.314
202109 -1.938 112.905 -2.154
202112 11.771 113.774 12.981
202203 -12.508 117.646 -13.340
202206 6.155 120.806 6.393
202209 -10.142 120.648 -10.547
202212 12.226 120.964 12.681
202303 -7.665 122.702 -7.838
202306 13.166 124.203 13.300
202309 -3.893 125.230 -3.900
202312 10.715 125.468 10.715

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Canadian Tire  (TSX:CTC.A) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Canadian Tire's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=136.55/9.13
=14.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Canadian Tire was 77.03. The lowest was 14.00. And the median was 33.45.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Canadian Tire Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Canadian Tire's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Canadian Tire (TSX:CTC.A) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2180 Yonge Street, P.O. Box 770, Toronto, ON, CAN, M4P 2V8
Canadian Tire sells home goods, sporting equipment, apparel, footwear, automotive parts and accessories, and vehicle fuel through a roughly 1,700-store network of company, dealer, and franchisee-operated locations across Canada. Aside from the namesake banner, stores operate primarily under the Mark's, SportChek, Party City, Atmosphere, and PartSource monikers. Additionally, the company owns Helly Hansen, a Norwegian sportswear and workwear brand, and also operates and holds majority ownership of a financing arm (Canadian Tire Financial Services; 20% owned by Scotiabank) and a REIT (CT REIT; Canadian Tire owns about 70%).

Canadian Tire (TSX:CTC.A) Headlines

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