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Mattel (WBO:MAT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : €0.74 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Mattel's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €0.093. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €0.74 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Mattel's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -8.20% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -10.00% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -8.40% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Mattel was 18.20% per year. The lowest was -12.40% per year. And the median was 3.20% per year.

As of today (2024-04-28), Mattel's current stock price is €17.235. Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €0.74. Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 23.29.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Mattel was 29.11. The lowest was 6.55. And the median was 17.29.


Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Mattel Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.99 0.82 0.87 0.70 0.72

Mattel Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.67 0.73 0.86 0.72 0.74

Competitive Comparison of Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Leisure subindustry, Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Mattel's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=0.093/129.4194*129.4194
=0.093

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 129.4194.

Mattel Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -0.441 100.560 -0.568
201409 -0.294 100.428 -0.379
201412 2.256 99.070 2.947
201503 -0.251 99.621 -0.326
201506 -0.691 100.684 -0.888
201509 -0.101 100.392 -0.130
201512 2.355 99.792 3.054
201603 -0.355 100.470 -0.457
201606 -0.567 101.688 -0.722
201609 -0.410 101.861 -0.521
201612 2.302 101.863 2.925
201703 -1.037 102.862 -1.305
201706 -0.824 103.349 -1.032
201709 -0.677 104.136 -0.841
201712 1.597 104.011 1.987
201803 -0.756 105.290 -0.929
201806 -0.779 106.317 -0.948
201809 -0.515 106.507 -0.626
201812 1.685 105.998 2.057
201903 -0.555 107.251 -0.670
201906 -0.593 108.070 -0.710
201909 -0.366 108.329 -0.437
201912 1.702 108.420 2.032
202003 -0.547 108.902 -0.650
202006 -0.802 108.767 -0.954
202009 -0.003 109.815 -0.004
202012 1.601 109.897 1.885
202103 -0.172 111.754 -0.199
202106 -0.581 114.631 -0.656
202109 -0.132 115.734 -0.148
202112 1.705 117.630 1.876
202203 -0.455 121.301 -0.485
202206 -0.851 125.017 -0.881
202209 0.284 125.227 0.294
202212 1.730 125.222 1.788
202303 -0.656 127.348 -0.667
202306 -0.387 128.729 -0.389
202309 0.529 129.860 0.527
202312 2.345 129.419 2.345
202403 0.093 129.419 0.093

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Mattel  (WBO:MAT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=17.235/0.74
=23.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Mattel was 29.11. The lowest was 6.55. And the median was 17.29.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Mattel (WBO:MAT) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
333 Continental Boulevard, El Segundo, CA, USA, 90245-5012
Mattel markets toy products that are sold to its wholesale customers and direct to retail consumers. The company offers products for children and families, including toys for infants and preschoolers, girls and boys, youth electronics, hand-held and other games, puzzles, educational toys, media-driven products, and plush and fashion-related toys. Mattel's owned portfolio includes Barbie, Hot Wheels, Fisher-Price, Thomas & Friends, and American Girl. In addition, it currently manufactures toy products for its segments both internally and externally (through manufacturing partners). Nearly 60% of its net sales are generated from North America, with the remainder stemming from international markets.