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Morgan Stanley (HAM:DWD) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 957.22 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-04-28), Morgan Stanley's current share price is €86.15. Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was €0.09. Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 957.22.

The historical rank and industry rank for Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HAM:DWD' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.25   Med: 8.9   Max: 941.6
Current: 904.08

During the past years, Morgan Stanley's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 941.60. The lowest was 3.25. And the median was 8.90.

HAM:DWD's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
98.64% of 221 companies
in the Capital Markets industry
Industry Median: 19.29 vs HAM:DWD: 904.08

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Morgan Stanley's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was €-10.542. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €0.09 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Morgan Stanley Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.59 13.99 15.71 18.98 908.17

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 24.14 40.09 33.32 908.17 -

Competitive Comparison of Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=86.15/0.09
=957.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as:

For example, Morgan Stanley's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=-10.542/129.4194*129.4194
=-10.542

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 1.755 99.695 2.278
201406 0.391 100.560 0.503
201409 0.734 100.428 0.946
201412 -2.714 99.070 -3.545
201503 -6.296 99.621 -8.179
201506 1.956 100.684 2.514
201509 0.067 100.392 0.086
201512 1.464 99.792 1.899
201603 1.811 100.470 2.333
201606 5.531 101.688 7.039
201609 -4.144 101.861 -5.265
201612 -1.440 101.863 -1.830
201703 -0.132 102.862 -0.166
201706 -7.111 103.349 -8.905
201709 2.379 104.136 2.957
201712 1.692 104.011 2.105
201803 5.604 105.290 6.888
201806 -6.477 106.317 -7.884
201809 7.003 106.507 8.510
201812 -3.961 105.998 -4.836
201903 8.714 107.251 10.515
201906 5.375 108.070 6.437
201909 7.191 108.329 8.591
201912 -0.282 108.420 -0.337
202003 13.510 108.902 16.055
202006 -9.831 108.767 -11.698
202009 -3.790 109.815 -4.467
202012 -11.834 109.897 -13.936
202103 12.177 111.754 14.102
202106 1.849 114.631 2.088
202109 0.708 115.734 0.792
202112 -0.149 117.630 -0.164
202203 -0.214 121.301 -0.228
202206 7.749 125.017 8.022
202209 -5.005 125.227 -5.173
202212 -8.312 125.222 -8.591
202303 -5.944 127.348 -6.041
202306 -5.880 128.729 -5.912
202309 1.616 129.860 1.611
202312 -10.542 129.419 -10.542

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Morgan Stanley  (HAM:DWD) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Morgan Stanley (HAM:DWD) Business Description

Address
1585 Broadway, New York, NY, USA, 10036
Morgan Stanley is a global investment bank whose history, through its legacy firms, can be traced back to 1924. The company has institutional securities, wealth management, and investment management segments. The company had over $4 trillion of client assets as well as over 80,000 employees at the end of 2022. Approximately 50% of the company's net revenue is from its institutional securities business, with the remainder coming from wealth and investment management. The company derives about 30% of its total revenue outside the Americas.

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