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Cosan (BSP:CSAN3) E10 : R$1.06 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Cosan E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Cosan's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was R$1.260. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is R$1.06 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, Cosan's average E10 Growth Rate was 7.10% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 7.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Cosan was 7.60% per year. The lowest was 7.60% per year. And the median was 7.60% per year.

As of today (2024-05-03), Cosan's current stock price is R$14.45. Cosan's E10 for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was R$1.06. Cosan's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 13.63.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Cosan was 468.75. The lowest was 13.60. And the median was 20.64.


Cosan E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cosan's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cosan E10 Chart

Cosan Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.31 0.85 0.96 0.99 1.06

Cosan Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.99 0.96 0.94 0.96 1.06

Competitive Comparison of Cosan's E10

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Cosan's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cosan's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Cosan's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cosan's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Cosan E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Cosan's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=1.26/156.2729*156.2729
=1.260

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 156.2729.

Cosan Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201403 0.158 90.447 0.273
201406 0.063 91.838 0.107
201409 0.010 92.602 0.017
201412 -0.053 94.194 -0.088
201503 -0.028 97.799 -0.045
201506 0.010 100.006 0.016
201509 -0.011 101.392 -0.017
201512 0.368 104.247 0.552
201603 0.139 106.979 0.203
201606 0.169 108.851 0.243
201609 0.196 109.986 0.278
201612 0.108 110.802 0.152
201703 0.125 111.869 0.175
201706 -0.047 112.115 -0.066
201709 0.308 112.777 0.427
201712 0.413 114.068 0.566
201803 0.210 114.868 0.286
201806 -0.040 117.038 -0.053
201809 0.028 117.881 0.037
201812 0.825 118.340 1.089
201903 0.249 120.124 0.324
201906 0.263 120.977 0.340
201909 0.521 121.292 0.671
201912 -0.328 123.436 -0.415
202003 0.065 124.092 0.082
202006 -0.194 123.557 -0.245
202009 0.196 125.095 0.245
202012 0.321 129.012 0.389
202103 0.366 131.660 0.434
202106 0.502 133.871 0.586
202109 1.746 137.913 1.978
202112 0.779 141.992 0.857
202203 0.272 146.537 0.290
202206 -0.067 149.784 -0.070
202209 -0.008 147.800 -0.008
202212 0.430 150.207 0.447
202303 -0.489 153.352 -0.498
202306 -0.562 154.519 -0.568
202309 0.363 155.464 0.365
202312 1.260 156.273 1.260

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Cosan  (BSP:CSAN3) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Cosan's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=14.45/1.06
=13.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Cosan was 468.75. The lowest was 13.60. And the median was 20.64.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Cosan E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cosan's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cosan (BSP:CSAN3) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Avenue Brigadeiro Faria Lima, 4100 / 15th Floor Itaim Bibi, Sao Paulo, SP, BRA, 04538-132
Cosan SA engages in several services throughout the energy and logistics sectors. Cosan SA and Cosan Logistica account for the many segments that constitute Cosan's operations. Cosan SA delivers over half of the group's revenue. It is diversified across the energy sector with companies specializing in fuel distribution, sugar and ethanol production, power generation, natural gas distribution, lubricants, and land management. The majority of the revenue is generated from the distribution of fuels in Brazil.

Cosan (BSP:CSAN3) Headlines

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