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Morgan Stanley (HAM:DWD) E10 : €5.01 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Morgan Stanley E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Morgan Stanley's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was €0.779. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is €5.01 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, Morgan Stanley's average E10 Growth Rate was 9.90% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 19.80% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 21.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 9.30% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Morgan Stanley was 24.40% per year. The lowest was -13.20% per year. And the median was 3.05% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), Morgan Stanley's current stock price is €86.15. Morgan Stanley's E10 for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was €5.01. Morgan Stanley's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 17.20.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Morgan Stanley was 40.23. The lowest was 7.79. And the median was 17.02.


Morgan Stanley E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Morgan Stanley's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Morgan Stanley E10 Chart

Morgan Stanley Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.52 2.59 3.66 4.73 5.01

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.71 4.92 5.23 5.01 -

Competitive Comparison of Morgan Stanley's E10

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Morgan Stanley's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Morgan Stanley's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Morgan Stanley's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Morgan Stanley's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Morgan Stanley E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Morgan Stanley's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=0.779/129.4194*129.4194
=0.779

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201403 0.535 99.695 0.695
201406 0.677 100.560 0.871
201409 0.644 100.428 0.830
201412 0.381 99.070 0.498
201503 1.090 99.621 1.416
201506 0.757 100.684 0.973
201509 0.428 100.392 0.552
201512 0.358 99.792 0.464
201603 0.494 100.470 0.636
201606 0.668 101.688 0.850
201609 0.722 101.861 0.917
201612 0.768 101.863 0.976
201703 0.935 102.862 1.176
201706 0.774 103.349 0.969
201709 0.780 104.136 0.969
201712 0.245 104.011 0.305
201803 1.176 105.290 1.446
201806 1.113 106.317 1.355
201809 1.003 106.507 1.219
201812 0.703 105.998 0.858
201903 1.230 107.251 1.484
201906 1.089 108.070 1.304
201909 1.153 108.329 1.377
201912 1.170 108.420 1.397
202003 0.914 108.902 1.086
202006 1.740 108.767 2.070
202009 1.409 109.815 1.661
202012 1.488 109.897 1.752
202103 1.840 111.754 2.131
202106 1.536 114.631 1.734
202109 1.683 115.734 1.882
202112 1.779 117.630 1.957
202203 1.834 121.301 1.957
202206 1.315 125.017 1.361
202209 1.485 125.227 1.535
202212 1.189 125.222 1.229
202303 1.588 127.348 1.614
202306 1.145 128.729 1.151
202309 1.293 129.860 1.289
202312 0.779 129.419 0.779

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Morgan Stanley  (HAM:DWD) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Morgan Stanley's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=86.15/5.01
=17.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Morgan Stanley was 40.23. The lowest was 7.79. And the median was 17.02.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Morgan Stanley E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Morgan Stanley's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Morgan Stanley (HAM:DWD) Business Description

Address
1585 Broadway, New York, NY, USA, 10036
Morgan Stanley is a global investment bank whose history, through its legacy firms, can be traced back to 1924. The company has institutional securities, wealth management, and investment management segments. The company had over $4 trillion of client assets as well as over 80,000 employees at the end of 2022. Approximately 50% of the company's net revenue is from its institutional securities business, with the remainder coming from wealth and investment management. The company derives about 30% of its total revenue outside the Americas.

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