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Rockwood Holdings (FRA:R6H) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : €0.36 (As of Sep14)


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What is Rockwood Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep14, Rockwood Holdings's earnings power value is €0.36. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Rockwood Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Rockwood Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Rockwood Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Rockwood Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -6.42 -6.24 -8.42 0.05 4.20

Rockwood Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -9.67 4.20 4.38 -0.84 -0.72

Competitive Comparison of Rockwood Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Rockwood Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Rockwood Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Rockwood Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rockwood Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Rockwood Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Rockwood Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,827
DDA 126
Operating Margin % 14.05
SGA * 25% 102
Tax Rate % 66.41
Maintenance Capex 120
Cash and Cash Equivalents 551
Short-Term Debt 7
Long-Term Debt 992
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 72

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 14.05%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = €1,827 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 14.05%, Average Adjusted SGA = 102,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,827 * 14.05% +102 = €358.917241576 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 66.41%, and "Normalized" EBIT = €358.917241576 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 358.917241576 * ( 1 - 66.41% ) = €120.54594475572 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 126 * 0.5 * 66.41% = €41.841749796 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 120.54594475572 + 41.841749796 = €162.38769455172 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Rockwood Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = €120 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Rockwood Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = €551 Mil.
Rockwood Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 992 + 7 = €999.721 Mil.
Rockwood Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 72 Mil.

Rockwood Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep14 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 162.38769455172 - 120)/ 9%+551-999.721 )/72
=0.36

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 0.35936915806352-65.53 )/0.35936915806352
= -18134.73%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Rockwood Holdings  (FRA:R6H) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Rockwood Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Rockwood Holdings (FRA:R6H) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Rockwood Holdings Inc was incorporated in Delaware in September 2000. It is a developer, manufacturer and marketer of value-added specialty chemicals and materials used for industrial and commercial purposes. The Company operates through two business segments: Lithium and Surface Treatment. The Lithium segment operates under the Rockwood Lithium brand name and develops lithium chemicals for industries and end markets. It develops and manufactures basic lithium compounds, including lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide, lithium chloride, and value-added lithium specialties and reagents, including butyllithium and lithium aluminum hydride. It operates lithium business along the following five business divisions reflecting its core end-markets: Lithium Salts; Special Salts; Butyllithium/Lithium Metal; Battery Products and Lithium Specialties. Lithium segment obtains lithium brine which it uses to produce lithium products through evaporation in the Salar de Atacama, Chile and Silver Peak, Nevada. Lithium's customers include Bayer CropScience (a division of Bayer AG), Syngenta AG, Umicore S.A., Samsung SDI Co. Ltd. and Royal DSM N.V. Surface Treatment segment operates under the Chemetall brand name and develops and manufactures metal surface treatment products and services for industries and end market. Surface Treatment's products are used for a variety of applications and serve the automotive, aerospace and general industrial markets, including steel and metal-working industries. The customers include ArcelorMittal, Daimler AG, European Aeronautic Defence and Space Company (EADS) N.V., Ford, Renault-Nissan and Volkswagen AG. The competitors in this segment includes: Dow Corning Corporation, Catalise Industria e Comercio de Metals Ltda and Nachmann S.r.I. The Company's operations are subject to regulation by the FDA with respect to certain products produced, marketed and sold by its Lithium segment, which includes pharmaceutical intermediates.

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