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Sureserve Group (LSE:SUR) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : £0.45 (As of Sep22)


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What is Sureserve Group Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep22, Sureserve Group's earnings power value is £0.45. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -178.19

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Sureserve Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sureserve Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sureserve Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Sureserve Group Annual Data
Trend Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.18 0.08 0.13 0.29 0.45

Sureserve Group Semi-Annual Data
Sep13 Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 0.29 - 0.45 -

Competitive Comparison of Sureserve Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Sureserve Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sureserve Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Sureserve Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sureserve Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Sureserve Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Sureserve Group's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 218.0
DDA 5.5
Operating Margin % 4.04
SGA * 25% 0.0
Tax Rate % 22.96
Maintenance Capex 1.1
Cash and Cash Equivalents 19.3
Short-Term Debt 5.5
Long-Term Debt 9.6
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 167.6

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 4.04%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = £218.0 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 4.04%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0.0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 218.0 * 4.04% +0.0 = £8.81749716 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 22.96%, and "Normalized" EBIT = £8.81749716 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 8.81749716 * ( 1 - 22.96% ) = £6.7933525119504 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 5.5 * 0.5 * 22.96% = £0.636064848 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 6.7933525119504 + 0.636064848 = £7.4294173599504 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Sureserve Group's Average Maintenance CAPEX = £1.1 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Sureserve Group's current cash and cash equivalent = £19.3 Mil.
Sureserve Group's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 9.6 + 5.5 = £15.076 Mil.
Sureserve Group's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 167.6 Mil.

Sureserve Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep22 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 7.4294173599504 - 1.1)/ 9%+19.3-15.076 )/167.6
=0.45

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 0.44753978691054-1.245 )/0.44753978691054
= -178.19%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Sureserve Group  (LSE:SUR) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Sureserve Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Sureserve Group (LSE:SUR) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Crossways Business Park, Crossways Point 15, Victory Way, Dartford, Kent, GBR, DA2 6DT
Sureserve Group PLC is a compliance and energy support services group that performs critical functions in homes, and public and commercial buildings, with a focus on clients in the UK public sector and regulated markets. Its services are delivered through two divisions: Compliance and Energy Services. The Compliance segment is focused on gas, fire, electrics, air, water, and lifts where it contracts under framework agreements. The Energy Services offers services in the energy efficiency sector, including external, internal, and cavity wall insulation, loft insulation, gas central heating, boiler upgrades, and other renewable technologies. All revenue and profit of the company are derived from operations in the United Kingdom.

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