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Virios Therapeutics (Virios Therapeutics) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $0.12 (As of Mar24)


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What is Virios Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Virios Therapeutics's earnings power value is $0.12. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Virios Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Virios Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Virios Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Virios Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
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Virios Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
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Competitive Comparison of Virios Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Virios Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Virios Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Virios Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Virios Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Virios Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Virios Therapeutics's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 0.00
DDA 0.00
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 1.23
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 0.00
Cash and Cash Equivalents 2.38
Short-Term Debt 0.00
Long-Term Debt 0.00
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 19.26

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $0.00 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 1.23,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 0.00 * 0.00% +1.23 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.00 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Virios Therapeutics's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.00 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Virios Therapeutics's current cash and cash equivalent = $2.38 Mil.
Virios Therapeutics's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.00 + 0.00 = $0 Mil.
Virios Therapeutics's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 19.26 Mil.

Virios Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0 - 0.00)/ 9%+2.38-0 )/19.26
=0.12

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 0.12358500363485-0.2183 )/0.12358500363485
= -76.64%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Virios Therapeutics  (NAS:VIRI) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Virios Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Virios Therapeutics (Virios Therapeutics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
44 Milton Avenue, Alpharetta, GA, USA, 30009
Virios Therapeutics Inc is a development-stage biotechnology company. It is focused on advancing novel antiviral therapies to treat diseases associated with a viral triggered abnormal immune response such as fibromyalgia. The company is engaged in the development of its product, IMC-1, for people who are suffering from fibromyalgia.
Executives
William Pridgen director 44 MILTON AVENUE, ALPHARETTA GA 30009
Gregory Scott Duncan director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 44 MILTON AVENUE, ALPHARETTA GA 30009
Richard James Whitley director UAB, CHB 303, 1600 7TH AVENUE SOUTH, BIRMINGHAM AL 35233-1711
Angela Walsh officer: VP of Finance 44 MILTON AVENUE, ALPHARETTA GA 30009
De La Rosa Abel director 44 MILTON AVENUE, ALPHARETTA GA 30009
John C Thomas director 8601 SIX FORKS ROAD, SUITE 160, RALEIGH NC 27615
David R Keefer director 44 MILTON AVENUE, ALPHARETTA GA 30009
Ralph Grosswald officer: Vice President of Operations 44 MILTON AVENUE, ALPHARETTA GA 30009
Roger Michael Gendreau officer: Chief Medical Officer 44 MILTON AVENUE, ALPHARETTA GA 30009
Richard Alan Burch director 44 MILTON AVENUE, ALPHARETTA GA 30009

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