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NYSE Euronext, (XPAR:NYX) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : €7.12 (As of Sep13)


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What is NYSE Euronext, Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep13, NYSE Euronext,'s earnings power value is €7.12. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


NYSE Euronext, Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for NYSE Euronext,'s Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NYSE Euronext, Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

NYSE Euronext, Annual Data
Trend Dec03 Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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NYSE Euronext, Quarterly Data
Dec08 Mar09 Jun09 Sep09 Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13
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Competitive Comparison of NYSE Euronext,'s Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Financial Data & Stock Exchanges subindustry, NYSE Euronext,'s Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NYSE Euronext,'s Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, NYSE Euronext,'s Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NYSE Euronext,'s Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



NYSE Euronext, Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

NYSE Euronext,'s "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 3,201
DDA 146
Operating Margin % 8.67
SGA * 25% 254
Tax Rate % 15.65
Maintenance Capex 177
Cash and Cash Equivalents 327
Short-Term Debt 159
Long-Term Debt 1,562
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 245

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 8.67%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = €3,201 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 8.67%, Average Adjusted SGA = 254,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 3,201 * 8.67% +254 = €531.416189244 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 15.65%, and "Normalized" EBIT = €531.416189244 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 531.416189244 * ( 1 - 15.65% ) = €448.2256418988 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 146 * 0.5 * 15.65% = €11.464072131 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 448.2256418988 + 11.464072131 = €459.6897140298 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
NYSE Euronext,'s Average Maintenance CAPEX = €177 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. NYSE Euronext,'s current cash and cash equivalent = €327 Mil.
NYSE Euronext,'s current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,562 + 159 = €1721.148 Mil.
NYSE Euronext,'s current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 245 Mil.

NYSE Euronext,'s Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep13 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 459.6897140298 - 177)/ 9%+327-1721.148 )/245
=7.12

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 7.1187180965895-32.23 )/7.1187180965895
= -352.75%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


NYSE Euronext,  (XPAR:NYX) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


NYSE Euronext, Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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NYSE Euronext, (XPAR:NYX) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
NYSE Euronext, Inc., a Delaware corporation, was organized on May 22, 2006 in anticipation of the combination of the businesses of NYSE Group, Inc., a Delaware corporation, and Euronext N.V., a company organized under the laws of the Netherlands. The Company is a global operator of financial markets and provider of trading solutions. The Company offers an array of products and services in cash equities, futures, options, swaps, exchange-traded products, bonds, clearing operations, market data, commercial technology solutions and carbon trading, all designed to meet the evolving needs of investors, issuers, financial institutions and market participants. The Company consists of three business segments: Derivatives; Cash Trading and Listings; and Information Services and Technology Solutions. Derivatives segment is comprised of derivatives trading and clearing businesses and includes its subsidiaries NYSE Liffe, NYSE Liffe Clearing, NYSE Liffe US, NYSE Amex Options, NYSE Arca Options and joint venture NYPC as well as its related derivatives market data business. Cash Trading and Listings segment consists of cash trading and listings businesses and includes its subsidiaries the NYSE, Euronext, NYSE Amex, NYSE Arca, NYSE Alternext, NYSE Arca Europe and SmartPool, as well as NYSE Blue and Interbolsa, and its related cash trading market data business. Information Services and Technology Solutions segment refers to its commercial technology transactions, data and infrastructure businesses. The Company operates a commercial technology business, NYSE Technologies Inc., and also owns NYFIX, Inc., a provider of solutions that aims to optimize trading efficiency. NYSE Technologies provides comprehensive transaction, data and infrastructure services and managed solutions for buy-side, sell-side and exchange communities. NYSE Technologies' integrated solutions power the trading operations of global financial institutions and exchanges, including non-NYSE Euronext markets in addition to all the exchanges in the NYSE Euronext group. NYSE Technologies operates five businesses: Global Market Data, which offers an array of global market information products covering multiple asset classes; Trading Solutions, which creates and implements high performance, end-to-end messaging software and real-time market data distribution and integration products; Exchange Solutions, which provides multi-asset exchange platform services, managed services and expert consultancy; Global Connectivity, which offers a financial transaction network connecting firms and exchanges worldwide; and Transaction Services, which mainly comprises the former NYFIX FIX business, and which incorporates the NYFIX Marketplace and FIX Software businesses. NYSE Liffe US, NYSE Arca and NYSE Amex face considerable competition in derivatives trading. Their main U.S. competitors are the CME Group Inc., Chicago Board Options Exchange, Inc., the International Securities Exchange Holdings, Inc

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