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Vistagen Therapeutics (Vistagen Therapeutics) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-8.77 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Vistagen Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-29), Vistagen Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-8.77. The stock price of Vistagen Therapeutics is $4.77. Therefore, Vistagen Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vistagen Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

VTGN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 2.32
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Vistagen Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Vistagen Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Vistagen Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Vistagen Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -49.94 -88.02 -13.37 -29.06 -41.93

Vistagen Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -41.23 -41.93 -43.39 -31.12 -8.77

Competitive Comparison of Vistagen Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Vistagen Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vistagen Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Vistagen Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vistagen Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Vistagen Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Vistagen Therapeutics's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-25.85.

Vistagen Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.783508514862*-25.85312+123.285*0.8)/29.388
=-8.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Vistagen Therapeutics  (NAS:VTGN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Vistagen Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=4.77/-8.7695215617171
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Vistagen Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Vistagen Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Vistagen Therapeutics (Vistagen Therapeutics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
343 Allerton Avenue, South San Francisco, CA, USA, 94080
Vistagen Therapeutics Inc is a biotechnology firm. The company is in its clinical stage and engaged in developing and commercializing product candidates for patients with diseases and disorders involving the central nervous system. The company's pipeline includes six product candidates, including five clinical-stage investigational agents belonging to a new class of drugs known as pherines. The portfolio of the company includes PH94B, a novel neuroactive nasal spray; PH10, an odorless, fast-acting synthetic neurosteroid and AV-101, an oral antagonist of the glycine site of the N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor (NMDAR) which is the Company is developing for the treatment of MDD, suicidal ideation, neuropathic pain, levodopa-induced dyskinesia (LID) and epilepsy.
Executives
Joshua S. Prince officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O VISTAGEN THERAPEUTICS, INC., 343 ALLERTON AVE., SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Cynthia Lynn Anderson officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER C/O VISTAGEN THERAPEUTICS, INC., 343 ALLERTON AVE., SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Commodore Capital Lp 10 percent owner 444 MADISON AVENUE, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Jerry B Gin director 343 ALLERTON AVE, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Reid G. Adler officer: CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER C/O VISTAGEN THERAPEUTICS, INC., 343 ALLERTON AVE., SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94090
Shawn Singh director, officer: CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER C/O VISTAGEN THERAPEUTICS, INC., 343 ALLERTON AVENUE, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Venrock Healthcare Capital Partners Ii, L.p. 10 percent owner 7 BRYANT PARK, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Vhcp Management Ii, Llc 10 percent owner 7 BRYANT PARK, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Vhcp Management Eg, Llc 10 percent owner 3340 HILLVIEW AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Venrock Healthcare Capital Partners Eg, L.p. 10 percent owner 3340 HILLVIEW AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Vhcp Co-investment Holdings Iii, Llc 10 percent owner 7 BRYANT PARK, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Bong Y Koh 10 percent owner 7 BRYANT PARK, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Vhcp Co-investment Holdings Ii, Llc 10 percent owner 7 BRYANT PARK, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Nimish P Shah 10 percent owner 7 BRYANT PARK, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK CITY NY 10018
Venrock Healthcare Capital Partners Iii, L.p. 10 percent owner 530 FIFTH AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036

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