Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.
Constant Contact's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.
The historical rank and industry rank for Constant Contact's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:
CTCT's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Media - Diversified industry.
Industry Median: 0.815 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.
Constant Contact Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data
The historical data trend for Constant Contact's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Competitive Comparison of Constant Contact's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
For the Advertising Agencies subindustry, Constant Contact's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Constant Contact's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry
For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Constant Contact's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Constant Contact's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.
This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.
Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:
1. Discount Rate: d = 11% A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.
2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>
Constant Contact's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past
3 years was 0.00%,
which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%
3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10
4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%
5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10
6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $0.600. GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.
All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.
Constant Contact's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.
Be Aware
What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:
1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.
You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.
Constant Contact Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Constant Contact's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Constant Contact (Constant Contact) Business Description
Constant Contact Inc was incorporated in Massachusetts in 1995 under the name Roving Software Incorporated. The Company provides online marketing tools that are designed for small organizations, including small businesses, associations and non-profits. Its suite of online marketing tools, which include Email Marketing, EventSpot, Social Campaigns, SaveLocal, SinglePlatform and Survey, enable its customers to launch and monitor marketing campaigns across multiple channels, including email, social media, events, local deals, online listings and surveys. Its customers include various types of small organizations including retailers, restaurants, law and accounting firms, consultants, non-profits, religious organizations and alumni associations. Its email marketing product allows customers to easily create, send and track professional-looking email campaigns. The product includes a campaign creation wizard that makes it easy to create and edit email campaigns with access to over 300 pre-designed email campaign templates that reflect a wide variety of themes and styles and over 15 million images through its relationship with Bigstock, a subsidiary of Shutterstock, Inc. The Company also offers market leading free tools and applications that allow customers to add and update contacts, including adding contacts directly from a computer or point of sale device. Its event marketing product allows its customers to promote and manage events, communicate with invitees and registrants, capture and track registrations and collect online payments. The Company's social media products include Social Campaigns, which empowers customers to reach and engage users on Facebook to grow their fans and create social word-of-mouth through easy-to-create offers and promotions. SaveLocal provides service to its customers to retain existing customers and attract new customers by creating, running and managing local deals, and provides them with end-to-end control over their deals at an affordable price. The Company's online survey product enables its customers to survey their customers or members and analyze responses. SinglePlatform provides its customers the power to manage all of their key online listings from one place by helping them to create a content rich digital storefront, which can include menus, photos, services, offers and featured products. As of December 31, 2013, the Company served a large and diverse group of approximately 595,000 unique paying customers. Its Social Campaigns product competes with offerings by Offerpop Corporation, Pagemodo, a subsidiary of VistaPrint N.V., Vocus Social Media LLC doing business as North Social and Wildfire Interactive, Inc. Its SaveLocal product competes with offerings by Groupon, Inc., LivingSocial, Inc., Amazon Local and Google Offers. Its SinglePlatform product competes with offerings by Yext, Inc. and Locu Inc., a subsidiary of GoDaddy.com, LLC. Its survey product competes with offerings by Surveymonkey.c
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