GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » Rite Aid Corp (OTCPK:RADCQ) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

Rite Aid (Rite Aid) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $-109.64 (As of May. 06, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1970. Start your Free Trial

What is Rite Aid Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-05-06), Rite Aid's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $-109.64.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Rite Aid's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Rite Aid is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for Rite Aid's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Rite Aid was 3.40. The lowest was 0.00. And the median was 2.19.

RADCQ's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry.
Industry Median: 1.02
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Rite Aid Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Rite Aid's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Rite Aid Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Rite Aid Annual Data
Trend Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Rite Aid Quarterly Data
Nov18 Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Rite Aid's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Pharmaceutical Retailers subindustry, Rite Aid's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Rite Aid's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Rite Aid's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rite Aid's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Rite Aid Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Rite Aid's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $-9.500.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Rite Aid's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-9.500*11.5406
=-109.64

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(-109.64-0.15)/-109.64
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Rite Aid  (OTCPK:RADCQ) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Rite Aid Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Rite Aid's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Rite Aid (Rite Aid) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1200 Intrepid Avenue, PO Box 3165, Philadelphia, PA, USA, 17105
Rite Aid Corp is a large retail drugstore chain in the United States. The company reports via two segments: retail pharmacy and pharmacy services. The retail pharmacy segment generates revenue primarily through the sale of prescription drugs, along with an assortment of merchandise that includes over-the-counter medications, health and beauty aids, personal care items, cosmetics, household items, food and beverages, greeting cards, seasonal merchandise, and numerous other everyday consumables. The pharmacy-services segment relates to EnvisionRx, a fully owned subsidiary that operates as a pharmacy benefit management provider offering a broad range of pharmaceutical services.
Executives
Christopher W. Dupaul officer: Chief Operating Officer 1200 INTREPID AVENUE, 2ND FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19112
Sabatino Thomas J Jr officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O JAN STERN REED BAXTER INTERNATIONAL, ONE BAXTER PARKWAY DF2 2W, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Steven Bixler officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O RITE AID CORPORATION, 30 HUNTER LANE, CAMP HILL PA 17011
Heyward R Donigan officer: Chief Executive Officer 452 DISCOVERY ROAD, VIRGINIA BEACH VA 23451
Jocelyn Z Konrad officer: Executive VP RITE AID CORPORATION, 30 HUNTER LANE, CAMP HILL PA 17011
Ray Smithberger officer: SVP, Operations 30 HUNTER LANE, CAMP HILL PA 17011
Bari A Harlam director C/O MOHAWK GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 37 EAST 18TH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Paul D Gilbert officer: EVP, Secretary&General Counsel 103 POWELL COURT, SUITE 200, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Andre Persaud officer: EVP, Retail 30 HUNTER LANE, CAMP HILL PA 17011
Dan Robson officer: President, EnvisionRXOptions 30 HUNTER LANE, CAMP HILL PA 17011
James J Peters officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O NXSTAGE MEDICAL, INC., 350 MERRIMACK STREET, LAWRENCE MA 01843
James J Comitale officer: EVP, General Counsel, Secy. 30 HUNTER LANE, CAMP HILL PA 17011
Jessica Kazmaier officer: EVP, Chief HR Officer 30 HUNTER LANE, CAMP HILL PA 17011
Justin L. Mennen officer: EVP, Chief Information Officer 30 HUNTER LANE, CAMP HILL PA 17011
Katherine B Quinn director US BANCORP, 800 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402

Rite Aid (Rite Aid) Headlines

From GuruFocus