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Barnes & Noble (Barnes & Noble) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-1.29 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Barnes & Noble Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-26), Barnes & Noble's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-1.29.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Barnes & Noble's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Barnes & Noble is N/A.

The industry rank for Barnes & Noble's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

BKS's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.
Industry Median: 0.73
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Barnes & Noble Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Barnes & Noble's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Barnes & Noble Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Barnes & Noble Annual Data
Trend Apr10 Apr11 Apr12 Apr13 Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Barnes & Noble Quarterly Data
Jul14 Oct14 Jan15 Apr15 Jul15 Oct15 Jan16 Apr16 Jul16 Oct16 Jan17 Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Barnes & Noble's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Barnes & Noble's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Barnes & Noble's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Barnes & Noble's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Barnes & Noble's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Barnes & Noble Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.69%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Barnes & Noble's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-0.112.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Barnes & Noble's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.112*11.5406
=-1.29

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-1.29-6.49)/-1.29
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Barnes & Noble  (NYSE:BKS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Barnes & Noble Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Barnes & Noble (Barnes & Noble) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
122 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10011
Barnes & Noble is a United States-based company that is mainly engaged in retail of books and products of content, digital media, and educational products. The company operates in a multichannel model, including a physical bookstore network throughout the country, an e-commerce platform on BN.com, and its Nook digital business. The company offers books, magazines, music, DVDs, newspapers, and entertainment content, along with e-reading products under the Nook brand. Retail sales from physical stores and BN.com account for the majority of the company's total revenue.
Executives
Al Ferrara director 433 LAWNDALE DRIVE, SOUTH SALT LAKE CITY UT 84115
Mark D Carleton director 12300 LIBERTY BLVD., ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Scott S Cowen director 7=6823 ST CHARLES AVE, NEW ORLEANS LA 70118
William Earl Wood officer: Exec. VP, Pres. of Digital 1901 CAPITAL PARKWAY, AUSTIN TX 78746
George Jr Campbell director 4 IRVING PLACE, NEW YORK NY 10003
Patricia Higgins director 11780 U.S. HIGHWAY 1, SUITE 600, PALM BEACH GARDENS FL 33408
Irwin D Simon director C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP INC., 1111 MARCUS AVENUE, LAKE SUCCESS NY 11042
Leonard Riggio director, 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Chairman 122 FIFTH AVE, NEW YORK NY 10011
Allen W Lindstrom officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O BARNES & NOBLE, INC., 122 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10011
Bradley A. Feuer officer: VP, Gen. Counsel & Corp. Secy C/O BARNES & NOBLE, INC., 122 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10011
Paul B Guenther director C/O GABELLI ASSET MANAGEMENT INC, ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 16580
Joseph Charles Gorman officer: Executive VP, Operations C/O GNC HOLDINGS, INC. 300 SIXTH AVENUE PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Tim Mantel officer: Chief Merchandising Officer C/O BARNES & NOBLE, INC 122 FIFTH AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10011
Carl S Hauch officer: Vice President, Stores ADVANCE AUTO PARTS, INC, 5008 AIRPORT RD, ROANOKE VA 24012
Demos Parneros director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 483 BAY ST, 7TH FL NORTH TOWER, TORONTOON A1 999999999