GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Interactive Media » DoorDash Inc (NAS:DASH) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

DoorDash (DoorDash) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $107.16 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2020. Start your Free Trial

What is DoorDash Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), DoorDash's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $107.16.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

DoorDash's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for DoorDash is -23.28%.

The industry rank for DoorDash's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

DASH's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Interactive Media industry.
Industry Median: 0.64
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

DoorDash Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for DoorDash's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

DoorDash Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

DoorDash Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - -

DoorDash Quarterly Data
Dec18 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of DoorDash's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, DoorDash's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


DoorDash's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, DoorDash's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where DoorDash's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



DoorDash Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> DoorDash's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 125.80%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $3.429.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

DoorDash's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=3.429*31.2501
=107.16

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(107.16-132.11)/107.16
=-23.28 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


DoorDash  (NAS:DASH) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


DoorDash Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of DoorDash's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


DoorDash (DoorDash) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
303 2nd Street, South Tower, 8th Floor, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94107
Founded in 2013 and headquartered in San Francisco, DoorDash is an online food order demand aggregator. Consumers can use its app to order food on-demand for pickup or delivery from merchants mainly in the U.S. Through the acquisition of Wolt in 2022, the firm also provides this service in Europe. DoorDashprovides a marketplace for the merchants to create a presence online, market their offerings, and meet demand by making the offerings available for pickup or delivery. The firm provides similar service to businesses in addition to restaurants, such as grocery, retail, pet supplies, and flowers. In 2022, the firm generated $53.4 billion in gross order volume (up 27% year over year) and $6.6 billion in revenue (up 35%).
Executives
Andy Fang director, 10 percent owner C/O DOORDASH, INC., 303 2ND STREET, SOUTH TOWER, 8TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Tony Xu director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O DOORDASH, INC., 303 2ND STREET, SOUTH TOWER, 8TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Stanley Tang director, 10 percent owner C/O DOORDASH, INC., 303 2ND STREET, SOUTH TOWER, 8TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Shona L Brown director 1600 AMIPHITHEATRE PARKWAY, BUILDING 41, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Tia Sherringham officer: General Counsel and Secretary 303 2ND STREET, SOUTH TOWER 8TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Prabir Adarkar officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O DOORDASH, INC., 303 2ND STREET, SOUTH TOWER, 8TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Keith Yandell officer: Chief Business & Legal Officer C/O DOORDASH, INC., 303 2ND STREET, SOUTH TOWER, 8TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Ravi Inukonda officer: Chief Financial Officer 6260 LOOKOUT ROAD, BOULDER CO 94040
Gordon S Lee officer: Chief Accounting Officer 303 2ND STREET, SOUTH TOWER, 8TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Ashley Still director 303 2ND STREET, SOUTH TOWER 8TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Stanley J Meresman director 2071 HUNTINGTON LANE, LOS ALTOS CA 94024
Diego Piacentini director 303 2ND STREET, SOUTH TOWER, 8TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Christopher D Payne officer: Chief Operating Officer 1250 N. ARLINGTON HEIGHTS RD, STE 500, ITASCA IL 60143
Sequoia Capital Fund Parallel, Llc 10 percent owner 2800 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Elinor Mertz director 303 2ND STREET, SOUTH TOWER 8TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107