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Eiger BioPharmaceuticals (Eiger BioPharmaceuticals) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-1,583.35 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Eiger BioPharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-01), Eiger BioPharmaceuticals's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-1,583.35.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Eiger BioPharmaceuticals's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Eiger BioPharmaceuticals is N/A.

The industry rank for Eiger BioPharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

EIGRQ's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 1.675
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Eiger BioPharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Eiger BioPharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Eiger BioPharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Eiger BioPharmaceuticals Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Eiger BioPharmaceuticals Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
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Competitive Comparison of Eiger BioPharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Eiger BioPharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Eiger BioPharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Eiger BioPharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Eiger BioPharmaceuticals's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Eiger BioPharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.67%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Eiger BioPharmaceuticals's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 24.30%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-50.667.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Eiger BioPharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-50.667*31.2501
=-1,583.35

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-1583.35-2.15)/-1583.35
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Eiger BioPharmaceuticals  (OTCPK:EIGRQ) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Eiger BioPharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Eiger BioPharmaceuticals (Eiger BioPharmaceuticals) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2155 Park Boulevard, Palo Alto, CA, USA, 94306
Eiger BioPharmaceuticals Inc is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of drugs for serious, rare, and ultra-rare diseases with high unmet medical needs and no approved therapies. Its program lonafarnib, a prenylation inhibitor, boosted with ritonavir, for the treatment of Hepatitis Delta Virus (HDV) infection, is in Phase 3 clinical development. Its product candidate pipeline includes Lonafarnib (LNF) in HDV, Peginterferon Lambda (lambda) in HDV, LNF in Progeria, and Progeroid Laminopathies (PL), Avexitide in Post-Bariatric Hypoglycemia (PBH), and Avexitide in Congenital Hyperinsulinism (CHI), all advancing toward Phase 3.
Executives
Richard A Kayne 10 percent owner
Leen Kawas 10 percent owner 4000 MASON ROAD, SUITE 300, BOX 352141, SEATTLE WA 98195-2141
Ingrid Choong officer: Chief Business Officer 24645 SUMMERHILL AVE, LOS ALTOS CA 94024
William G Kachioff officer: CFO 4060 PORTE DE PALMAS, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
James Vollins officer: General Counsel C/O BIODELIVERY SCIENCES INTERNATIONAL, 4131 PARK LAKE AVE SUITE 225, RALEIGH NC 27607
Mayer Eldon C. Iii officer: Ex VP & Chief Commerc. Officer RIGEL PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 1180 VETERANS BLVD., SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Lisa Kelly-croswell director C/O SYNLOGIC, INC., 301 BINNEY STREET, SUITE 402, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Thomas John Dietz director C/O TRANSCEPT PHARMACEUTICAL, INC., 1003 W. CUTTING BLVD, STE 110, PT. RICHMOND CA 94804
Jeffrey S Glenn director 350 CAMBRIDGE AVENUE, SUITE 350, PALO ALTO CA 94306
David Apelian director C/O ACHILLION PHARMACEUTICALS, INC, 300 GEORGE STREET, NEW HAVEN CT 06511
Sriram Ryali officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O EIGER BIOPHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 2155 PARK BLVD., PALO ALTO CA 94306
Christine Murray director C/O ACHAOGEN, INC., 7000 SHORELINE COURT, SUITE 371, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Erik Atkisson officer: GC & Chief Compliance Officer C/O EIGER BIOPHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 2155 PARK BLVD., PALO ALTO CA 94306
Kim Sablich director C/O MYOVANT SCIENCES INC., 2000 SIERRA POINT PARKWAY, BRISBANE CA 94005
David A Cory director, officer: President and CEO 350 CAMBRIDGE AVENUE, SUITE 350, PALO ALTO CA 94306