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Finisar (Finisar) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $0.00 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Finisar Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-26), Finisar's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Finisar's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Finisar is N/A%.

The industry rank for Finisar's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

FNSR's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Hardware industry.
Industry Median: 1
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Finisar Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Finisar's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Finisar Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Finisar Annual Data
Trend Apr10 Apr11 Apr12 Apr13 Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Finisar Quarterly Data
Oct14 Jan15 Apr15 Jul15 Oct15 Jan16 Apr16 Jul16 Oct16 Jan17 Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Finisar's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Finisar's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Finisar's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Finisar's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Finisar's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Finisar Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.65%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Finisar's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.000.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Finisar's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.000*11.5406
=0.00

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(0-23.77)/0
=N/A %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Finisar  (NAS:FNSR) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Finisar Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Finisar's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Finisar (Finisar) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Finisar Corp (NAS:FNSR) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1389 Moffett Park Drive, Sunnyvale, CA, USA, 94089
Founded in 1987, Finisar is a California-based large provider of fiber optical modules and components that are used in data communications and telecommunications. Its products include transceivers and wavelength switches for data center interconnects, and intracity/metro and long-haul communications. Finisar sells to manufacturers of storage systems and network equipment and their OEMs, which in turn sell to telecom service providers and cloud vendors.
Executives
Michael L Dreyer director C/O F5 NETWORKS, INC., 401 ELLIOTT AVE. WEST, SEATTLE WA 98119
Michael C Child director 125 HIGH ST STE 2500, BOSTON MA 02110
Thomas E Pardun director C/O WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION, 3355 MICHELSON DR, SUITE 100, IRVINE CA 92612
Helene Simonet director
Jerry S Rawls director 1308 MOFFETT PARK DRIVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089-1133
Robert Stephens director 3102 MONTANA DEL SOL, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
Kurt Adzema officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 1389 MOFFETT PARK DRIVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Michael E. Hurlston director, officer: CEO 5300 CALIFORNIA AVENUE, IRVINE CA 92617
Eitan Gertel director, officer: CEO 11780 U.S. HIGHWAY 1, SUITE 600, PALM BEACH GARDENS FL 33408
Dominique Trempont director 5 RANDALL PLACE, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Christopher J Crespi director C/O SIRENZA MICRODEVICES, INC., 303 SOUTH TECHNOLOGY COURT, BROOMFIELD CO 80021
Morgan M Jones director C/O BATTERY VENTURES, 20 WILLIAM ST STE 200, WELLESLEY MA 02481
Frank H Levinson director 3736 FALLON ROAD #428, DUBLIN CA 94568
Harold Hughes director C/O RAMBUS INC., 1050 ENTERPRISE WAY, SUITE 700, SUNNYVALE CA 94089