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DCP Midstream LP (DCP Midstream LP) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $228.41 (As of May. 13, 2024)


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What is DCP Midstream LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-13), DCP Midstream LP's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $228.41.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

DCP Midstream LP's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for DCP Midstream LP is 81.75%.

The industry rank for DCP Midstream LP's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

DCP's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 0.66
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

DCP Midstream LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for DCP Midstream LP's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

DCP Midstream LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

DCP Midstream LP Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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DCP Midstream LP Quarterly Data
Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of DCP Midstream LP's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, DCP Midstream LP's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


DCP Midstream LP's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, DCP Midstream LP's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where DCP Midstream LP's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



DCP Midstream LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> DCP Midstream LP's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 31.80%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $7.309.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

DCP Midstream LP's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=7.309*31.2501
=228.41

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(228.41-41.69)/228.41
=81.75 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


DCP Midstream LP  (NYSE:DCP) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


DCP Midstream LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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DCP Midstream LP (DCP Midstream LP) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » DCP Midstream LP (NYSE:DCP) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
6900 E. Layton Avenue, Suite 900, Denver, CO, USA, 80237
DCP Midstream LP is primarily a gathering and processor partnership with major asset bases in the Permian, Scoop/Stack, Eagle Ford, and DJ Basin. It also has investments in the Sand Hills natural gas liquids pipeline as well as the Gulf Coast Express gas pipeline, which both serve the growing Permian basin. The company's segment includes Logistics and Marketing and Gathering and Processing. It generates maximum revenue from the Logistics and Marketing segment.
Executives
Scott Richard Delmoro officer: Principal Financial Officer 6900 E. LAYTON AVE, SUITE 900, DENVER CO 80237
Timothy D. Roberts director C/O PHILLIPS 66 PARTNERS LP, 3010 BRIARPARK DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77042
Clifford Todd Denton director 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Phillips 66 Co 10 percent owner 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
66 Phillips 10 percent owner 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Phillips 66 Project Development Inc. 10 percent owner P.O. BOX 4428, HOUSTON TX 77210
Phillips 66 Project Shareholder Inc. 10 percent owner 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Phillips Gas Co Llc 10 percent owner 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Kevin J Mitchell director 3010 BRIARPARK DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77042
William L. Johnson officer: President 370 17TH STREET, SUITE 2500, DENVER CO 80202
George R. Green officer: Group VP & General Counsel 370 17TH STREET, SUITE 2500, DENVER CO 80202
Heather Crowder director 370 17TH STREET, SUITE 2500, DENVER CO 80202
Stephen J Neyland director 5400 WESTHEIMER COURT, HOUSTON TX 77056
Sean O'brien officer: Group Vice President and CFO 370 17TH STREET, SUITE 2500, DENVER CO 80202
Richard A. Loving officer: Vice President and Controller 370 17TH STREET, SUITE 2500, DENVER CO 80202

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